Shoe retailers
NAICS Code: 458200
BLS projects Shoe retailers to contract -4.1% through 2034 - 6.5 points slower than the 2.4% average across 291 U.S. industries, faster-growing than 18% of them. It ranks among the contracting industries projected through 2034.
Where Shoe retailers sits among all industries
Projected 2024-2034 growth across 291 U.S. industries (BLS). This industry is marked in rose.
Where Shoe retailers sits by projected growth
Projected employment change across tracked industries
-4.1% Top 82% higher than 18% of 291 industries
Industries, banded by projected growth
Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more industries. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count and share, and where it sits relative to this entry.
Source BLS Employment Projections · 2026-05-15
Contraction read
Signature: 45.5% mean employer AI exposure across 87 tracked public companies .
Projected decline plus a mid-sized public-company sample argues for checking adjacent occupations before treating any single firm grade as destiny.
NAICS 458200 · 169,900 workers (2024, ×1k) · source BLS Employment Projections 2024-2034. Employer AI grades are occupation-weighted scores from our SEC cohort, not automation predictions for every establishment in Shoe retailers.
Public companies in this NAICS sector
NAICS sector 44-45/44/45 bucket (includes sibling industries). 87 companies scored · mean AI exposure 45.5%.
| Company | AI grade |
|---|---|
| Abercrombie & Fitch Co /De/ | C |
| Academy Sports & Outdoors, Inc. | C |
| Advance Auto Parts Inc | C |
| Albertsons Companies, Inc. | C |
| Amazon Com Inc | C |
| American Eagle Outfitters Inc | C |
| Aramark | C |
| Asbury Automotive Group Inc | C |
Grades are occupation-weighted AI exposure from our employer corpus - not a claim that every establishment in Shoe retailers shares the same risk. Source: SEC company metadata + O*NET-weighted scores · as of 2026-05-15.
Peer Industries by Employment
How Shoe retailers (NAICS 458200) compares to industries of similar size, ordered by 2024 BLS employment.
| Industry | 2024 | Growth |
|---|---|---|
| Beer, wine, and liquor retailers | 172,100 | -2.3% |
| Spectator sports | 171,500 | +4.7% |
| Ambulance services | 170,500 | +3.7% |
| Shoe retailers | 169,900 | -4.1% |
| Other motor vehicle dealers | 169,000 | +5.0% |
| Dairy product manufacturing | 168,000 | +6.4% |
Peers are selected by similarity in 2024 employment. Figures in thousands. Source: BLS Employment Projections 2024-2034.
Frequently Asked Questions
How many people work in Shoe retailers?
As of 2024, the Shoe retailers industry employs approximately 169,900 workers in the United States, according to BLS Employment Projections data.
Is Shoe retailers growing or declining?
The Shoe retailers industry is projected to decline by 4.1% from 2024 to 2034, a net change of -6,900 jobs over the decade.
Which public companies sit near Shoe retailers?
87 tracked public companies in NAICS sector 44-45/44/45 (sibling industries included). Sample names include Abercrombie & Fitch Co /De/, Academy Sports & Outdoors, Inc., Advance Auto Parts Inc. Grades are occupation-weighted AI exposure scores, not company-specific automation forecasts.
How will AI affect the Shoe retailers industry?
Among 87 tracked public companies tied to this industry's sector, the mean occupation-weighted AI exposure score is 45.5% (most common grade C). That is a staffing-pattern signal from our employer corpus, not a forecast for every firm in Shoe retailers. Pair it with occupation-level AI exposure scores for role-specific risk.
Where to look next under contraction
What to do with this
Use Shoe retailers' employment and exposure numbers above to look up individual employers and occupations, not just the industry aggregate.
- See how public employers in this and other industries rank nationwide by AI displacement risk. Employer AI risk rankings
- Browse individual occupations to see exposure and wage detail below the industry level. Browse all occupations
- Compare this industry's outlook against a specific occupation or employer using the interactive tool. Workforce comparison tool
Industry-level figures are aggregates; individual employer and occupation outcomes vary.
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics Employment Projections 2024-2034; SEC employer metadata for AI grades Employment figures in thousands. Employer grades are occupation-weighted exposure scores, not firm automation forecasts