Urban transit systems
NAICS Code: 485100
BLS projects Urban transit systems to grow +3.9% through 2034 - 1.5 points faster than the 2.4% average across 291 U.S. industries, faster-growing than 63% of them. Its trajectory is close to the typical U.S. industry.
Where Urban transit systems sits among all industries
Projected 2024-2034 growth across 291 U.S. industries (BLS). This industry is marked in rose.
Where Urban transit systems sits by projected growth
Projected employment change across tracked industries
3.9% Top 37% higher than 63% of 291 industries
Industries, banded by projected growth
Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more industries. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count and share, and where it sits relative to this entry.
Source BLS Employment Projections · 2026-05-15
Steady-state read
Signature: 40.5% mean employer AI exposure across 5 tracked public companies .
Employment change is near the industry median, yet the sector has a large tracked public-company set - the grade mix below is the more distinctive signal on this page.
NAICS 485100 · 48,000 workers (2024, ×1k) · source BLS Employment Projections 2024-2034. Employer AI grades are occupation-weighted scores from our SEC cohort, not automation predictions for every establishment in Urban transit systems.
Public companies near this industry
SEC industry labels matching tokens from Urban transit systems. 5 companies scored · mean AI exposure 40.5%.
| Company | AI grade |
|---|---|
| Casella Waste Systems Inc | B |
| GFL Environmental Inc. | B |
| Republic Services, Inc. | B |
| Waste Connections, Inc. | B |
| Waste Management Inc | B |
Grades are occupation-weighted AI exposure from our employer corpus - not a claim that every establishment in Urban transit systems shares the same risk. Source: SEC company metadata + O*NET-weighted scores · as of 2026-05-15.
Peer Industries by Employment
How Urban transit systems (NAICS 485100) compares to industries of similar size, ordered by 2024 BLS employment.
| Industry | 2024 | Growth |
|---|---|---|
| Radio broadcasting stations | 51,200 | -6.2% |
| Photographic services | 49,000 | -8.5% |
| Urban transit systems | 48,000 | +3.9% |
| Metal ore mining | 44,900 | +7.9% |
| Support activities for rail transportation | 43,600 | +0.7% |
| Other support activities for transportation | 42,700 | +3.9% |
Peers are selected by similarity in 2024 employment. Figures in thousands. Source: BLS Employment Projections 2024-2034.
Frequently Asked Questions
How many people work in Urban transit systems?
As of 2024, the Urban transit systems industry employs approximately 48,000 workers in the United States, according to BLS Employment Projections data.
Is Urban transit systems growing or declining?
The Urban transit systems industry is projected to grow by 3.9% from 2024 to 2034, a net change of +1,900 jobs over the decade.
Which public companies sit near Urban transit systems?
5 tracked public companies whose SEC industry label matches Urban transit systems. Sample names include Casella Waste Systems Inc, GFL Environmental Inc., Republic Services, Inc.. Grades are occupation-weighted AI exposure scores, not company-specific automation forecasts.
How will AI affect the Urban transit systems industry?
Among 5 tracked public companies tied to this industry's sector, the mean occupation-weighted AI exposure score is 40.5% (most common grade B). That is a staffing-pattern signal from our employer corpus, not a forecast for every firm in Urban transit systems. Pair it with occupation-level AI exposure scores for role-specific risk.
Where to look next
What to do with this
Use Urban transit systems' employment and exposure numbers above to look up individual employers and occupations, not just the industry aggregate.
- See how public employers in this and other industries rank nationwide by AI displacement risk. Employer AI risk rankings
- Browse individual occupations to see exposure and wage detail below the industry level. Browse all occupations
- Compare this industry's outlook against a specific occupation or employer using the interactive tool. Workforce comparison tool
Industry-level figures are aggregates; individual employer and occupation outcomes vary.
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics Employment Projections 2024-2034; SEC employer metadata for AI grades Employment figures in thousands. Employer grades are occupation-weighted exposure scores, not firm automation forecasts