Medium AI Risk Much Faster

Physician assistants

SOC Code: 29-1071

Physician assistants carries a 37% AI exposure score (Medium automation risk), with a median annual wage of $133,260 and +20.4% projected employment growth from 2024 to 2034 (BLS), affecting approximately 162,700 workers. Full task breakdown, skills, and employer data are below.

AI Exposure Score
37% Medium
Typical exposure

Proportion of tasks susceptible to AI automation (O*NET analysis)

Projected Growth
+20.4%
Top 10% growth
2024–2034 (BLS)
+33,200 jobs
Median Annual Wage
$133,260
Top 10% pay
BLS May 2024
How wage figures are sourced →
The verdict

At 37% AI exposure, Physician assistants sits 0 points above the 37.2% average across 832 U.S. occupations - more exposed than 59% of them. Most of its core tasks still require human judgment.

37%
AI exposure
Top 41%
most exposed
+20.4%
Job growth 2024–34
$133,260
Median wage
A-

Career outlook score

81/100

Physician assistants, weighted across 3 of 3 tracked dimensions

A weighted composite of median wage, projected growth, and AI-automation security (inverted exposure), each benchmarked against every other tracked occupation. It describes this occupation's standing across those three dimensions, not a guarantee of future outcomes.

  • Median wage A+ $133,260

    Annual median wage, percentile rank vs all tracked occupations

  • Projected growth A+ +20.4%

    Projected employment change, 2024-2034, BLS Employment Projections

  • AI exposure (inverted) D 37% exposure

    Lower O*NET task-automability scores lower risk; this dimension scores security, not exposure

Employment vs AI exposure

Home health and personal care aides is #1 of 832 occupations by employment (4.3M, AI exposure rank #392 at 35%) vs. Bookkeeping, accounting, and auditing clerks #1 by AI task exposure (95%, employment rank #17 at 1.6M).

4.3M
Home health and personal care aides employment (#1)
#392
Home health and personal care aides AI rank
95%
Bookkeeping, accounting, and auditing clerks AI exposure (#1)
#17
Bookkeeping, accounting, and auditing clerks employment rank

Automation-risk inventory

Exclusive cut of 832 occupations by PlainWorkforce automation-risk band. Orthogonal to the continuous AI-exposure distribution chart below and to this occupation's single risk badge, this is the corpus band mix, with Physician assistants in the Medium band.

Credential × growth standing

Graduate credential among the thinner entry shelves

Physician assistants is in the Graduate band (113 of 832) with BLS pace Much faster (31/832). Graduate entry is a minority shelf - pairing it with much faster growth is the standing that separates this SOC from bachelor-dominated neighbors.

Where Physician assistants sits among all occupations

AI-exposure score distribution across 832 U.S. occupations (O*NET task analysis). This occupation is marked in rose.

Where Physician assistants sits by AI exposure

AI-exposure score distribution across U.S. occupations (O*NET task analysis)

37% Around the middle lower than 41% of 832 occupations

Occupations, banded by AI-exposure score

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more occupations. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count and share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source O*NET task data (U.S. Department of Labor) · BLS 2024–2034

Source: O*NET task data (U.S. Department of Labor); AI-exposure scores are PlainWorkforce's analysis. As of BLS 2024–2034.

Physician assistants vs. its occupational neighbors

AI exposure (horizontal) vs projected 2024–2034 growth (vertical) for occupations in the same SOC group. Physician assistants is marked in rose; the top-left corner is the most future-proof.

Future-proofGrowing but exposedStable, lower-AIMost at risk8.4%22.5%36.5%50.5%64.5%0%10.5%21.1%31.6%42.1%AI exposure (%) →Projected growth (%) →Physician assistants, AI exposure (%) →: 37% · Projected growth (%) →: 20.4%Physician assistantsRegistered nurses, AI exposure (%) →: 26% · Projected growth (%) →: 4.9%Registered nursesLicensed practical, AI exposure (%) →: 21% · Projected growth (%) →: 2.6%Licensed practicalPharmacy technicians, AI exposure (%) →: 61% · Projected growth (%) →: 6.4%Pharmacy techniciansClinical laboratory , AI exposure (%) →: 35% · Projected growth (%) →: 1.7%Clinical laboratory Physicians, AI exposure (%) →: 11% · Projected growth (%) →: 2.5%PhysiciansPharmacists, AI exposure (%) →: 53% · Projected growth (%) →: 4.6%PharmacistsNurse practitioners, AI exposure (%) →: 26% · Projected growth (%) →: 40.1%Nurse practitionersPhysical therapists, AI exposure (%) →: 21% · Projected growth (%) →: 10.9%Physical therapistsRadiologic technolog, AI exposure (%) →: 51% · Projected growth (%) →: 4.3%Radiologic technologDental hygienists, AI exposure (%) →: 27% · Projected growth (%) →: 7%Dental hygienistsMedical records spec, AI exposure (%) →: 62% · Projected growth (%) →: 7.1%Medical records spec

Source: BLS Employment Projections 2024–2034 (growth) and O*NET (AI-exposure analysis by PlainWorkforce).

Employment Projections

162,700
Employment 2024
195,800
Projected 2034
+20.4%
Change (%)
+33,200
Change (jobs)

Where This Score Comes From

Physician assistants's Medium automation-risk tier is computed from O*NET Database 30.0 task-level analysis, where each documented task the occupation performs is evaluated against current generative AI, robotic process automation, and machine-learning capabilities. A score below 40% reflects tasks anchored in physical dexterity, unstructured environments, or high-touch human interaction that current AI cannot reliably replicate.

The employment, wage, and education figures above come from a second, separate federal source: BLS Employment Projections 2024–2034, matched to the O*NET task data by Standard Occupational Classification (SOC 29-1071) code, with the wage figure cross-validated against the BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics (OEWS) May 2024 survey. BLS figures are presented exactly as published, with no adjustment on our part; the SOC-code match is what lets Physician assistants be compared directly against every other tracked occupation on the same basis, not just roles that happen to share a job title.

For career planners, this profile should be read alongside the task, skill, and knowledge breakdowns below and the list of employers whose workforce composition includes Physician assistants. Adjacent occupations shown further down offer lateral moves that preserve industry knowledge while potentially reducing exposure.

Education & Entry Requirements

Typical Education
Master's degree
Work Experience
None
On-the-Job Training
None

Top Tasks (O*NET)

  1. 1. Make tentative diagnoses and decisions about management and treatment of patients.
  2. 2. Interpret diagnostic test results for deviations from normal.
  3. 3. Prescribe therapy or medication with physician approval.
  4. 4. Obtain, compile, and record patient medical data, including health history, progress notes, and results of physical examination.
  5. 5. Examine patients to obtain information about their physical condition.
  6. 6. Control anesthesia levels during procedures.
  7. 7. Administer or order diagnostic tests, such as x-ray, electrocardiogram, and laboratory tests.
  8. 8. Assist anesthesiologists in monitoring of patients, including electrocardiogram (EKG), direct arterial pressure, central venous pressure, arterial blood gas, hematocrit, or routine measurement of temperature, respiration, blood pressure or heart rate.
  9. 9. Instruct and counsel patients about prescribed therapeutic regimens, normal growth and development, family planning, emotional problems of daily living, and health maintenance.
  10. 10. Provide airway management interventions including tracheal intubation, fiber optics, or ventilary support.

Key Skills Required

  • Active Listening
  • Reading Comprehension
  • Monitoring
  • Speaking
  • Critical Thinking
  • Judgment and Decision Making
  • Active Learning
  • Operations Monitoring
  • Time Management
  • Service Orientation

Knowledge Areas

  • Medicine and Dentistry
  • English Language
  • Chemistry
  • Customer and Personal Service
  • Mathematics
  • Biology
  • Education and Training
  • Computers and Electronics
  • Mechanical
  • Public Safety and Security

Frequently Asked Questions

Will AI replace Physician assistants?

Physician assistants has an AI exposure score of 37%, indicating a medium level of automation risk. The majority of tasks in this role require human judgment, creativity, or physical presence that AI cannot easily replicate.

What is the job outlook for Physician assistants?

According to BLS Employment Projections 2024-2034, Physician assistants is projected to grow by 20.4% over the decade. Current employment stands at approximately 162,700 workers.

What skills are needed for Physician assistants?

Key skills for Physician assistants include Active Listening, Reading Comprehension, Monitoring, and others. Typical entry-level education is Master's degree.

How much do Physician assistants earn?

The median annual wage for Physician assistants is $133,260, according to BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics (May 2024). Actual earnings vary by location, experience, industry, and employer. The BLS publishes detailed wage percentiles by region in its Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics program.

What education is required for Physician assistants?

The typical entry-level education for Physician assistants is Master's degree. Employers generally expect None of related work experience. On-the-job training typically involves None. Requirements can vary by employer and specialization.

Which companies employ Physician assistants?

Physician assistants roles exist across many industries and employers. Workforce composition is estimated from BLS industry-occupation employment distributions matched to SEC-registered public companies.

AI Exposure Rating

1.9
out of 5.0

Medium automation risk based on 10 analyzed tasks. Most tasks require human judgment and are resistant to automation.

Nationwide occupations with similar workforce profiles

Two data-derived peer sets for Physician assistants: AI-exposure neighbors and BLS 2034 growth neighbors (distinct comparison neighborhoods, cross-occupation).

Similar AI exposure score

Nearest O*NET task-automability scores nationwide (37% here).

Similar projected growth (2024–2034)

Nearest BLS employment change rates nationwide (+20.4% here).

Peers are nearest-neighbor matches on published BLS + O*NET metrics among occupations with ≥10,000 workers in 2024; corpus ranks above sort the full tracked set.

What to do with this

Use Physician assistants' numbers above to compare, not just read in isolation.

AI exposure scores estimate task automatability from O*NET data; they are not a certainty of job loss, and BLS growth projections are estimates, not guarantees.

Data sources: Bureau of Labor Statistics Employment Projections 2024–2034 and O*NET Database 30.0. Employment figures are rounded. Wage data from BLS Occupational Employment Statistics (OES).

Every figure on PlainWorkforce is rendered directly from BLS/O*NET source data, no number is typed in by an editor. See our editorial standards & corrections policy, the methodology behind these figures, or report a data error. Data current as of BLS Employment Projections 2024-2034.

Sources: BLS Employment Projections 2024-2034, O*NET Database 30.0.