Medium AI Risk Fast Growth

Mechanical engineers

SOC Code: 17-2141

Mechanical engineers carries a 35% AI exposure score (Medium automation risk), with a median annual wage of $102,320 and +9.1% projected employment growth from 2024 to 2034 (BLS), affecting approximately 293,100 workers. Full task breakdown, skills, and employer data are below.

AI Exposure Score
35% Medium

Proportion of tasks susceptible to AI automation (O*NET analysis)

Projected Growth
+9.1%
2024–2034 (BLS)
+26,500 jobs
Median Annual Wage
$102,320
BLS May 2024
How wage figures are sourced →
The verdict

At 35% AI exposure, Mechanical engineers sits 2 points below the 37.2% average across 832 U.S. occupations - more exposed than 46% of them. Most of its core tasks still require human judgment.

35%
AI exposure
46th
percentile
+9.1%
Job growth 2024–34
$102,320
Median wage

Where Mechanical engineers sits among all occupations

AI-exposure score distribution across 832 U.S. occupations (O*NET task analysis). This occupation is marked in rose.

AI exposure distribution - Mechanical engineers marked 1 occupations at 0–10% 1 0 43 occupations at 10–20% 43 10 184 occupations at 20–30% 184 20 332 occupations at 30–40% 332 30 158 occupations at 40–50% 158 40 64 occupations at 50–60% 64 50 29 occupations at 60–70% 29 60 15 occupations at 70–80% 15 70 5 occupations at 80–90% 5 80 1 occupations at 90–100% 1 90 AI exposure (%) →
Top 54% by AI exposure Higher AI exposure than 46% of all 832 occupations.

Mechanical engineers has ai exposure of 35%. Distribution: 1 occupations at 0-10%; 43 occupations at 10-20%; 184 occupations at 20-30%; 332 occupations at 30-40%; 158 occupations at 40-50%; 64 occupations at 50-60%; 29 occupations at 60-70%; 15 occupations at 70-80%; 5 occupations at 80-90%; 1 occupations at 90-100%.

Source: O*NET task data (U.S. Department of Labor); AI-exposure scores are PlainWorkforce's analysis. As of BLS 2024–2034.

Mechanical engineers vs. its occupational neighbors

AI exposure (horizontal) vs projected 2024–2034 growth (vertical) for occupations in the same SOC group. Mechanical engineers is marked in rose; the top-left corner is the most future-proof.

Future-proofGrowing but exposedStable, lower-AIMost at risk25%36%47%58%69%0%2.9%5.8%8.7%11.6%AI exposure (%) →Projected growth (%) →Civil engineersIndustrial engineersMechanical engineersElectrical engineersEngineersArchitectsArchitecturalElectronics engineerElectricalComputer hardware enIndustrial engineeri

Source: BLS Employment Projections 2024–2034 (growth) and O*NET (AI-exposure analysis by PlainWorkforce).

Employment Projections

293,100
Employment 2024
319,600
Projected 2034
+9.1%
Change (%)
+26,500
Change (jobs)

Occupation Insight

Mechanical engineers (SOC 17-2141) carries an AI exposure score of 35%, placing it in the Medium automation-risk tier. This score is computed from O*NET Database 30.0 task-level analysis, where each task an occupation performs is evaluated against current generative AI, robotic process automation, and machine-learning capabilities. A score below 40% reflects tasks anchored in physical dexterity, unstructured environments, or high-touch human interaction that current AI cannot reliably replicate.

The economic context matters alongside the risk score. BLS counted approximately 293,100 workers in this occupation in 2024, and projects a +9.1% change through 2034 - modest growth that keeps the occupation viable even as tasks evolve. Median annual compensation stands at $102,320, reflecting both skill scarcity and the value employers place on the tasks that remain difficult to automate. Entry typically requires Bachelor's degree, plus None of related experience.

For career planners, this profile should be read alongside the task, skill, and knowledge breakdowns below and the list of employers whose workforce composition includes Mechanical engineers. Adjacent occupations shown further down offer lateral moves that preserve industry knowledge while potentially reducing exposure. Pair the AI exposure score with the BLS employment projection and wage percentiles above for a complete career assessment.

Education & Entry Requirements

Typical Education
Bachelor's degree
Work Experience
None
On-the-Job Training
None

Top Tasks (O*NET)

  1. 1. Read and interpret blueprints, technical drawings, schematics, or computer-generated reports.
  2. 2. Conduct or direct system-level automotive testing.
  3. 3. Provide technical direction to other engineers or engineering support personnel.
  4. 4. Perform failure, variation, or root cause analyses.
  5. 5. Research, design, evaluate, install, operate, or maintain mechanical products, equipment, systems or processes to meet requirements.
  6. 6. Plan or conduct experiments to validate new materials, optimize startup protocols, reduce conditioning time, or examine contaminant tolerance.
  7. 7. Calibrate vehicle systems, including control algorithms or other software systems.
  8. 8. Specify system components or direct modification of products to ensure conformance with engineering design, performance specifications, or environmental regulations.
  9. 9. Provide technical consultation or direction related to the development or production of fuel cell systems.
  10. 10. Characterize component or fuel cell performances by generating operating maps, defining operating conditions, identifying design refinements, or executing durability assessments.

Key Skills Required

  • Critical Thinking
  • Complex Problem Solving
  • Reading Comprehension
  • Writing
  • Speaking
  • Mathematics
  • Judgment and Decision Making
  • Active Listening
  • Operations Analysis
  • Systems Analysis

Knowledge Areas

  • Engineering and Technology
  • Physics
  • Mathematics
  • Mechanical
  • Design
  • Computers and Electronics
  • Transportation
  • English Language
  • Production and Processing
  • Administration and Management

Frequently Asked Questions

Will AI replace Mechanical engineers?

Mechanical engineers has an AI exposure score of 35%, indicating a medium level of automation risk. The majority of tasks in this role require human judgment, creativity, or physical presence that AI cannot easily replicate.

What is the job outlook for Mechanical engineers?

According to BLS Employment Projections 2024-2034, Mechanical engineers is projected to grow by 9.1% over the decade. Current employment stands at approximately 293,100 workers.

What skills are needed for Mechanical engineers?

Key skills for Mechanical engineers include Critical Thinking, Complex Problem Solving, Reading Comprehension, and others. Typical entry-level education is Bachelor's degree.

How much do Mechanical engineers earn?

The median annual wage for Mechanical engineers is $102,320, according to BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics (May 2024). Actual earnings vary by location, experience, industry, and employer. The BLS publishes detailed wage percentiles by region in its Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics program.

What education is required for Mechanical engineers?

The typical entry-level education for Mechanical engineers is Bachelor's degree. Employers generally expect None of related work experience. On-the-job training typically involves None. Requirements can vary by employer and specialization.

Which companies employ Mechanical engineers?

Mechanical engineers roles exist across many industries and employers. Workforce composition is estimated from BLS industry-occupation employment distributions matched to SEC-registered public companies.

AI Exposure Rating

1.8
out of 5.0

Medium automation risk based on 10 analyzed tasks. Most tasks require human judgment and are resistant to automation.

Data sources: Bureau of Labor Statistics Employment Projections 2024–2034 and O*NET Database 30.0. Employment figures are rounded. Wage data from BLS Occupational Employment Statistics (OES).

Data sourced from official public datasets. See our methodology for details. Retrieved and formatted by PlainWorkforce Editorial

Every figure on PlainWorkforce is rendered directly from BLS/O*NET source data, no number is typed in by an editor. See our editorial standards & corrections policy, the methodology behind these figures, or report a data error. Data current as of BLS Employment Projections 2024-2034.