Merchant wholesalers, durable goods (4232,3,5,6,7,9)

NAICS Code: 4230A1

Employment 2024
1,529,300
Projected 2034
1,581,500
Growth Rate
+3.4%
Net Job Change
+52,200
The verdict

BLS projects Merchant wholesalers, durable goods (4232,3,5,6,7,9) to grow +3.4% through 2034 - 1.0 points faster than the 2.4% average across 291 U.S. industries, faster-growing than 58% of them. Its trajectory is close to the typical U.S. industry.

+3.4%
Growth 2024-34
58th
growth percentile
1,529,300
Workers (2024, ×1k)
+52,200
Net jobs (×1k)

Where Merchant wholesalers, durable goods (4232,3,5,6,7,9) sits among all industries

Projected 2024-2034 growth across 291 U.S. industries (BLS). This industry is marked in rose.

Where Merchant wholesalers, durable goods (4232,3,5,6,7,9) sits by projected growth

Projected employment change across tracked industries

3.4% Top 42% higher than 58% of 291 industries

Industries, banded by projected growth

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more industries. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count and share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source BLS Employment Projections · 2026-05-15

Steady-state read

Signature: 45.5% mean employer AI exposure across 4 tracked public companies .

Both projected growth and public-company coverage sit in the middle of the fleet - compare the peer employment table with the company grades to see whether size peers and AI-risk peers tell the same story.

NAICS 4230A1 · 1,529,300 workers (2024, ×1k) · source BLS Employment Projections 2024-2034. Employer AI grades are occupation-weighted scores from our SEC cohort, not automation predictions for every establishment in Merchant wholesalers, durable goods (4232,3,5,6,7,9).

Public companies near this industry

SEC industry labels matching tokens from Merchant wholesalers, durable goods (4232,3,5,6,7,9). 4 companies scored · mean AI exposure 45.5%.

C · 4
Tracked public companies tied to this industry sector with AI risk grades
Company AI grade
Central Garden & Pet Co C
Core & Main, Inc. C
Pool Corp C
W.w. Grainger, Inc. C

Grades are occupation-weighted AI exposure from our employer corpus - not a claim that every establishment in Merchant wholesalers, durable goods (4232,3,5,6,7,9) shares the same risk. Source: SEC company metadata + O*NET-weighted scores · as of 2026-05-15.

Peer Industries by Employment

How Merchant wholesalers, durable goods (4232,3,5,6,7,9) (NAICS 4230A1) compares to industries of similar size, ordered by 2024 BLS employment.

Peer industries by 2024 employment, with 2034 projections and growth rates
Industry 2024 Growth
Colleges, universities, and professional schools; private 1,763,000 +0.4%
Home healthcare services 1,750,800 +18.6%
Merchant wholesalers, durable goods (4232,3,5,6,7,9) 1,529,300 +3.4%
Truck transportation 1,522,100 +1.4%
Nursing care facilities (skilled nursing facilities) 1,492,400 -3.0%
Plumbing, heating, and air-conditioning contractors 1,298,300 +4.8%

Peers are selected by similarity in 2024 employment. Figures in thousands. Source: BLS Employment Projections 2024-2034.

Frequently Asked Questions

How many people work in Merchant wholesalers, durable goods (4232,3,5,6,7,9)?

As of 2024, the Merchant wholesalers, durable goods (4232,3,5,6,7,9) industry employs approximately 1,529,300 workers in the United States, according to BLS Employment Projections data.

Is Merchant wholesalers, durable goods (4232,3,5,6,7,9) growing or declining?

The Merchant wholesalers, durable goods (4232,3,5,6,7,9) industry is projected to grow by 3.4% from 2024 to 2034, a net change of +52,200 jobs over the decade.

Which public companies sit near Merchant wholesalers, durable goods (4232,3,5,6,7,9)?

4 tracked public companies whose SEC industry label matches Merchant wholesalers, durable goods (4232,3,5,6,7,9). Sample names include Central Garden & Pet Co, Core & Main, Inc., Pool Corp. Grades are occupation-weighted AI exposure scores, not company-specific automation forecasts.

How will AI affect the Merchant wholesalers, durable goods (4232,3,5,6,7,9) industry?

Among 4 tracked public companies tied to this industry's sector, the mean occupation-weighted AI exposure score is 45.5% (most common grade C). That is a staffing-pattern signal from our employer corpus, not a forecast for every firm in Merchant wholesalers, durable goods (4232,3,5,6,7,9). Pair it with occupation-level AI exposure scores for role-specific risk.

What to do with this

Use Merchant wholesalers, durable goods (4232,3,5,6,7,9)'s employment and exposure numbers above to look up individual employers and occupations, not just the industry aggregate.

Industry-level figures are aggregates; individual employer and occupation outcomes vary.

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics Employment Projections 2024-2034; SEC employer metadata for AI grades Employment figures in thousands. Employer grades are occupation-weighted exposure scores, not firm automation forecasts