Workforce Demand Estimator

How the Workforce Demand Estimator Works

This tool helps workers, students, and career counselors estimate future demand for occupations across US industries. It draws from two authoritative federal sources:

• BLS Employment Projections 2024-2034: Official 10-year employment projections covering 832 occupations across 291 industries, including projected employment levels, growth rates, job openings, and median wages.
• O*NET Database 30.0: The Department of Labor's occupational task database, used to compute AI exposure scores that estimate the proportion of each occupation's tasks susceptible to automation.

The AI impact assumption adjusts projections based on different adoption scenarios. The moderate setting follows the current BLS baseline. Aggressive assumes faster-than-expected AI deployment in routine-heavy industries. Conservative assumes regulatory and organizational friction slows adoption below the baseline.

Region filters adjust national projections using BLS industry-occupation staffing patterns and regional industry concentration data from the Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages (QCEW).

Interpreting Your Results

A positive demand estimate means the occupation is projected to add jobs over the selected horizon. A negative estimate signals contraction. The AI exposure component shows how much automation pressure the occupation faces regardless of growth direction — some fast-growing roles also have high AI exposure, meaning the nature of the work will change significantly even as headcount grows.

For the most complete picture, use this estimator alongside our individual occupation profiles, which provide task-level AI vulnerability breakdowns, skill requirements, and employer-specific data.