Medium AI Risk Declining

Locksmiths and safe repairers

SOC Code: 49-9094

Locksmiths and safe repairers carries a 24% AI exposure score (Medium automation risk), with a median annual wage of $50,490 and -8.3% projected employment growth from 2024 to 2034 (BLS), affecting approximately 18,800 workers. Full task breakdown, skills, and employer data are below.

AI Exposure Score
24% Medium
Below-average exposure

Proportion of tasks susceptible to AI automation (O*NET analysis)

Projected Growth
-8.3%
Bottom 10% growth
2024–2034 (BLS)
-1,600 jobs
Median Annual Wage
$50,490
Typical pay
BLS May 2024
How wage figures are sourced →
The verdict

At 24% AI exposure, Locksmiths and safe repairers sits 13 points below the 37.2% average across 832 U.S. occupations - more exposed than 13% of them. It ranks among the more AI-resilient roles in the dataset.

24%
AI exposure
13th
percentile
-8.3%
Job growth 2024–34
$50,490
Median wage
D

Career outlook score

43/100

Locksmiths and safe repairers, weighted across 3 of 3 tracked dimensions

A weighted composite of median wage, projected growth, and AI-automation security (inverted exposure), each benchmarked against every other tracked occupation. It describes this occupation's standing across those three dimensions, not a guarantee of future outcomes.

  • Median wage F $50,490

    Annual median wage, percentile rank vs all tracked occupations

  • Projected growth F -8.3%

    Projected employment change, 2024-2034, BLS Employment Projections

  • AI exposure (inverted) A 24% exposure

    Lower O*NET task-automability scores lower risk; this dimension scores security, not exposure

Employment vs AI exposure

Home health and personal care aides is #1 of 832 occupations by employment (4.3M, AI exposure rank #392 at 35%) vs. Bookkeeping, accounting, and auditing clerks #1 by AI task exposure (95%, employment rank #17 at 1.6M).

4.3M
Home health and personal care aides employment (#1)
#392
Home health and personal care aides AI rank
95%
Bookkeeping, accounting, and auditing clerks AI exposure (#1)
#17
Bookkeeping, accounting, and auditing clerks employment rank

Automation-risk inventory

Exclusive cut of 832 occupations by PlainWorkforce automation-risk band. Orthogonal to the continuous AI-exposure distribution chart below and to this occupation's single risk badge, this is the corpus band mix, with Locksmiths and safe repairers in the Medium band.

Credential × growth standing

Open entry on a declining BLS line

Typical entry is HS / some college (333/832) while growth is Declining (111/832). This is the crowded high-risk corner of the map - automation and headcount pressure compound without a degree moat.

Where Locksmiths and safe repairers sits among all occupations

AI-exposure score distribution across 832 U.S. occupations (O*NET task analysis). This occupation is marked in rose.

Where Locksmiths and safe repairers sits by AI exposure

AI-exposure score distribution across U.S. occupations (O*NET task analysis)

24% Among the lowest lower than 87% of 832 occupations

Occupations, banded by AI-exposure score

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more occupations. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count and share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source O*NET task data (U.S. Department of Labor) · BLS 2024–2034

Source: O*NET task data (U.S. Department of Labor); AI-exposure scores are PlainWorkforce's analysis. As of BLS 2024–2034.

Locksmiths and safe repairers vs. its occupational neighbors

AI exposure (horizontal) vs projected 2024–2034 growth (vertical) for occupations in the same SOC group. Locksmiths and safe repairers is marked in rose; the top-left corner is the most future-proof.

Future-proofGrowing but exposedStable, lower-AIMost at risk11.4%20.2%29%37.8%46.6%-9.5%-2.8%3.9%10.6%17.3%AI exposure (%) →Projected growth (%) →Locksmiths, AI exposure (%) →: 24% · Projected growth (%) →: -8.3%LocksmithsMaintenance, AI exposure (%) →: 20% · Projected growth (%) →: 3.8%MaintenanceAutomotive service t, AI exposure (%) →: 23% · Projected growth (%) →: 4.2%Automotive service tFirst-line superviso, AI exposure (%) →: 45% · Projected growth (%) →: 3.1%First-line supervisoIndustrial machinery, AI exposure (%) →: 33% · Projected growth (%) →: 16.1%Industrial machineryHeating, AI exposure (%) →: 26% · Projected growth (%) →: 8.1%HeatingBus, AI exposure (%) →: 23% · Projected growth (%) →: 2.4%BusInstallation, AI exposure (%) →: 33% · Projected growth (%) →: 2.4%InstallationMobile heavy equipme, AI exposure (%) →: 29% · Projected growth (%) →: 5.8%Mobile heavy equipmeAutomotive body, AI exposure (%) →: 21% · Projected growth (%) →: 1.6%Automotive bodyTelecommunications e, AI exposure (%) →: 16% · Projected growth (%) →: -4.2%Telecommunications eAircraft mechanics, AI exposure (%) →: 13% · Projected growth (%) →: 4%Aircraft mechanics

Source: BLS Employment Projections 2024–2034 (growth) and O*NET (AI-exposure analysis by PlainWorkforce).

Employment Projections

18,800
Employment 2024
17,200
Projected 2034
-8.3%
Change (%)
-1,600
Change (jobs)

Where This Score Comes From

Locksmiths and safe repairers's Medium automation-risk tier is computed from O*NET Database 30.0 task-level analysis, where each documented task the occupation performs is evaluated against current generative AI, robotic process automation, and machine-learning capabilities. A score below 40% reflects tasks anchored in physical dexterity, unstructured environments, or high-touch human interaction that current AI cannot reliably replicate.

The employment, wage, and education figures above come from a second, separate federal source: BLS Employment Projections 2024–2034, matched to the O*NET task data by Standard Occupational Classification (SOC 49-9094) code, with the wage figure cross-validated against the BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics (OEWS) May 2024 survey. BLS figures are presented exactly as published, with no adjustment on our part; the SOC-code match is what lets Locksmiths and safe repairers be compared directly against every other tracked occupation on the same basis, not just roles that happen to share a job title.

For career planners, this profile should be read alongside the task, skill, and knowledge breakdowns below and the list of employers whose workforce composition includes Locksmiths and safe repairers. Adjacent occupations shown further down offer lateral moves that preserve industry knowledge while potentially reducing exposure.

Education & Entry Requirements

Typical Education
High school diploma or equivalent
Work Experience
None
On-the-Job Training
Long-term on-the-job training

Top Tasks (O*NET)

  1. 1. Cut new or duplicate keys, using impressions or code key machines.
  2. 2. Insert new or repaired tumblers into locks to change combinations.
  3. 3. Move picklocks in cylinders to open door locks without keys.
  4. 4. Cut new or duplicate keys, using key cutting machines.
  5. 5. Open safe locks by drilling.
  6. 6. Set up and maintain master key systems.
  7. 7. Install door hardware, such as locks and closers.
  8. 8. Keep records of company locks and keys.
  9. 9. Disassemble mechanical or electrical locking devices, and repair or replace worn tumblers, springs, and other parts, using hand tools.
  10. 10. Repair and adjust safes, vault doors, and vault components, using hand tools, lathes, drill presses, and welding and acetylene cutting apparatus.

Key Skills Required

  • Repairing
  • Critical Thinking
  • Time Management
  • Active Listening
  • Speaking
  • Service Orientation
  • Quality Control Analysis
  • Reading Comprehension
  • Complex Problem Solving
  • Installation

Knowledge Areas

  • Mechanical
  • Customer and Personal Service
  • Public Safety and Security
  • English Language
  • Administration and Management
  • Law and Government
  • Sales and Marketing
  • Education and Training
  • Mathematics
  • Computers and Electronics

Frequently Asked Questions

Will AI replace Locksmiths and safe repairers?

Locksmiths and safe repairers has an AI exposure score of 24%, indicating a medium level of automation risk. The majority of tasks in this role require human judgment, creativity, or physical presence that AI cannot easily replicate.

What is the job outlook for Locksmiths and safe repairers?

According to BLS Employment Projections 2024-2034, Locksmiths and safe repairers is projected to decline by 8.3% over the decade. Current employment stands at approximately 18,800 workers.

What skills are needed for Locksmiths and safe repairers?

Key skills for Locksmiths and safe repairers include Repairing, Critical Thinking, Time Management, and others. Typical entry-level education is High school diploma or equivalent.

How much do Locksmiths and safe repairers earn?

The median annual wage for Locksmiths and safe repairers is $50,490, according to BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics (May 2024). Actual earnings vary by location, experience, industry, and employer. The BLS publishes detailed wage percentiles by region in its Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics program.

What education is required for Locksmiths and safe repairers?

The typical entry-level education for Locksmiths and safe repairers is High school diploma or equivalent. Employers generally expect None of related work experience. On-the-job training typically involves Long-term on-the-job training. Requirements can vary by employer and specialization.

Which companies employ Locksmiths and safe repairers?

Locksmiths and safe repairers roles exist across many industries and employers. Workforce composition is estimated from BLS industry-occupation employment distributions matched to SEC-registered public companies.

AI Exposure Rating

1.2
out of 5.0

Medium automation risk based on 10 analyzed tasks. Most tasks require human judgment and are resistant to automation.

Nationwide occupations with similar workforce profiles

Two data-derived peer sets for Locksmiths and safe repairers: AI-exposure neighbors and BLS 2034 growth neighbors (distinct comparison neighborhoods, cross-occupation).

Similar AI exposure score

Nearest O*NET task-automability scores nationwide (24% here).

Similar projected growth (2024–2034)

Nearest BLS employment change rates nationwide (-8.3% here).

Peers are nearest-neighbor matches on published BLS + O*NET metrics among occupations with ≥10,000 workers in 2024; corpus ranks above sort the full tracked set.

What to do with this

Use Locksmiths and safe repairers' numbers above to compare, not just read in isolation.

AI exposure scores estimate task automatability from O*NET data; they are not a certainty of job loss, and BLS growth projections are estimates, not guarantees.

Data sources: Bureau of Labor Statistics Employment Projections 2024–2034 and O*NET Database 30.0. Employment figures are rounded. Wage data from BLS Occupational Employment Statistics (OES).

Every figure on PlainWorkforce is rendered directly from BLS/O*NET source data, no number is typed in by an editor. See our editorial standards & corrections policy, the methodology behind these figures, or report a data error. Data current as of BLS Employment Projections 2024-2034.

Sources: BLS Employment Projections 2024-2034, O*NET Database 30.0.