Medium AI Risk Fast Growth

Commercial divers

SOC Code: 49-9092

Commercial divers carries a 26% AI exposure score (Medium automation risk), with a median annual wage of $61,130 and +8.5% projected employment growth from 2024 to 2034 (BLS), affecting approximately 4,200 workers. Full task breakdown, skills, and employer data are below.

AI Exposure Score
26% Medium

Proportion of tasks susceptible to AI automation (O*NET analysis)

Projected Growth
+8.5%
2024–2034 (BLS)
+400 jobs
Median Annual Wage
$61,130
BLS May 2024
How wage figures are sourced →
The verdict

At 26% AI exposure, Commercial divers sits 11 points below the 37.2% average across 832 U.S. occupations - more exposed than 17% of them. Most of its core tasks still require human judgment.

26%
AI exposure
17th
percentile
+8.5%
Job growth 2024–34
$61,130
Median wage

Where Commercial divers sits among all occupations

AI-exposure score distribution across 832 U.S. occupations (O*NET task analysis). This occupation is marked in rose.

AI exposure distribution - Commercial divers marked 1 occupations at 0–10% 1 0 43 occupations at 10–20% 43 10 184 occupations at 20–30% 184 20 332 occupations at 30–40% 332 30 158 occupations at 40–50% 158 40 64 occupations at 50–60% 64 50 29 occupations at 60–70% 29 60 15 occupations at 70–80% 15 70 5 occupations at 80–90% 5 80 1 occupations at 90–100% 1 90 AI exposure (%) →
Top 83% by AI exposure Higher AI exposure than 17% of all 832 occupations.

Commercial divers has ai exposure of 26%. Distribution: 1 occupations at 0-10%; 43 occupations at 10-20%; 184 occupations at 20-30%; 332 occupations at 30-40%; 158 occupations at 40-50%; 64 occupations at 50-60%; 29 occupations at 60-70%; 15 occupations at 70-80%; 5 occupations at 80-90%; 1 occupations at 90-100%.

Source: O*NET task data (U.S. Department of Labor); AI-exposure scores are PlainWorkforce's analysis. As of BLS 2024–2034.

Commercial divers vs. its occupational neighbors

AI exposure (horizontal) vs projected 2024–2034 growth (vertical) for occupations in the same SOC group. Commercial divers is marked in rose; the top-left corner is the most future-proof.

Future-proofGrowing but exposedStable, lower-AIMost at risk11.4%20.2%29%37.8%46.6%-5.2%0.4%6.0%11.5%17.1%AI exposure (%) →Projected growth (%) →Commercial diversMaintenanceAutomotive service tFirst-line supervisoIndustrial machineryHeatingBusInstallationMobile heavy equipmeAutomotive bodyTelecommunications eAircraft mechanics

Source: BLS Employment Projections 2024–2034 (growth) and O*NET (AI-exposure analysis by PlainWorkforce).

Employment Projections

4,200
Employment 2024
4,500
Projected 2034
+8.5%
Change (%)
+400
Change (jobs)

Occupation Insight

Commercial divers (SOC 49-9092) carries an AI exposure score of 26%, placing it in the Medium automation-risk tier. This score is computed from O*NET Database 30.0 task-level analysis, where each task an occupation performs is evaluated against current generative AI, robotic process automation, and machine-learning capabilities. A score below 40% reflects tasks anchored in physical dexterity, unstructured environments, or high-touch human interaction that current AI cannot reliably replicate.

The economic context matters alongside the risk score. BLS counted approximately 4,200 workers in this occupation in 2024, and projects a +8.5% change through 2034 - modest growth that keeps the occupation viable even as tasks evolve. Median annual compensation stands at $61,130, reflecting both skill scarcity and the value employers place on the tasks that remain difficult to automate. Entry typically requires Postsecondary nondegree award, plus None of related experience.

For career planners, this profile should be read alongside the task, skill, and knowledge breakdowns below and the list of employers whose workforce composition includes Commercial divers. Adjacent occupations shown further down offer lateral moves that preserve industry knowledge while potentially reducing exposure. Pair the AI exposure score with the BLS employment projection and wage percentiles above for a complete career assessment.

Education & Entry Requirements

Typical Education
Postsecondary nondegree award
Work Experience
None
On-the-Job Training
Moderate-term on-the-job training

Top Tasks (O*NET)

  1. 1. Take appropriate safety precautions, such as monitoring dive lengths and depths and registering with authorities before diving expeditions begin.
  2. 2. Check and maintain diving equipment, such as helmets, masks, air tanks, harnesses, or gauges.
  3. 3. Communicate with workers on the surface while underwater, using signal lines or telephones.
  4. 4. Descend into water with the aid of diver helpers, using scuba gear or diving suits.
  5. 5. Obtain information about diving tasks and environmental conditions.
  6. 6. Supervise or train other divers, including hobby divers.
  7. 7. Inspect the condition of underwater steel or wood structures.
  8. 8. Inspect and test docks, ships, buoyage systems, plant intakes or outflows, or underwater pipelines, cables, or sewers, using closed circuit television, still photography, and testing equipment.
  9. 9. Repair ships, bridge foundations, or other structures below the water line, using caulk, bolts, and hand tools.
  10. 10. Recover objects by placing rigging around sunken objects, hooking rigging to crane lines, and operating winches, derricks, or cranes to raise objects.

Key Skills Required

  • Critical Thinking
  • Active Listening
  • Operations Monitoring
  • Speaking
  • Quality Control Analysis
  • Operation and Control
  • Time Management
  • Reading Comprehension
  • Coordination
  • Complex Problem Solving

Knowledge Areas

  • Mechanical
  • Building and Construction
  • Physics
  • Customer and Personal Service
  • Mathematics
  • Public Safety and Security
  • Education and Training
  • English Language
  • Design
  • Medicine and Dentistry

Frequently Asked Questions

Will AI replace Commercial divers?

Commercial divers has an AI exposure score of 26%, indicating a medium level of automation risk. The majority of tasks in this role require human judgment, creativity, or physical presence that AI cannot easily replicate.

What is the job outlook for Commercial divers?

According to BLS Employment Projections 2024-2034, Commercial divers is projected to grow by 8.5% over the decade. Current employment stands at approximately 4,200 workers.

What skills are needed for Commercial divers?

Key skills for Commercial divers include Critical Thinking, Active Listening, Operations Monitoring, and others. Typical entry-level education is Postsecondary nondegree award.

How much do Commercial divers earn?

The median annual wage for Commercial divers is $61,130, according to BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics (May 2024). Actual earnings vary by location, experience, industry, and employer. The BLS publishes detailed wage percentiles by region in its Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics program.

What education is required for Commercial divers?

The typical entry-level education for Commercial divers is Postsecondary nondegree award. Employers generally expect None of related work experience. On-the-job training typically involves Moderate-term on-the-job training. Requirements can vary by employer and specialization.

Which companies employ Commercial divers?

Commercial divers roles exist across many industries and employers. Workforce composition is estimated from BLS industry-occupation employment distributions matched to SEC-registered public companies.

AI Exposure Rating

1.3
out of 5.0

Medium automation risk based on 10 analyzed tasks. Most tasks require human judgment and are resistant to automation.

Data sources: Bureau of Labor Statistics Employment Projections 2024–2034 and O*NET Database 30.0. Employment figures are rounded. Wage data from BLS Occupational Employment Statistics (OES).

Data sourced from official public datasets. See our methodology for details. Retrieved and formatted by PlainWorkforce Editorial

Every figure on PlainWorkforce is rendered directly from BLS/O*NET source data, no number is typed in by an editor. See our editorial standards & corrections policy, the methodology behind these figures, or report a data error. Data current as of BLS Employment Projections 2024-2034.