High AI Risk Declining

Rolling machine setters, operators, and tenders, metal and plastic

SOC Code: 51-4023

Rolling machine setters, operators, and tenders, metal and plastic carries a 45% AI exposure score (High automation risk), with a median annual wage of $48,630 and -8.3% projected employment growth from 2024 to 2034 (BLS), affecting approximately 22,500 workers. Full task breakdown, skills, and employer data are below.

AI Exposure Score
45% High

Proportion of tasks susceptible to AI automation (O*NET analysis)

Projected Growth
-8.3%
2024–2034 (BLS)
-1,900 jobs
Median Annual Wage
$48,630
BLS May 2024
How wage figures are sourced →

AI Exposure vs Industry Growth

Workforce demand by occupation Sanctioned bespoke signature viz (@signature-viz, KIZ-799) showing occupation-level workforce demand from BLS OEWS data. Pure SVG, no external dependencies.Projected Growth 2024-2034 (BLS)Technology+12.8%Healthcare+10.2%Professional+7.8%Education+5.8%Construction+4.5%Finance+4.6%Logistics+3.2%Government+1.2%Manufacturing-2.1%Retail-3.4%
National AI Exposure
40%
Average across all occupations
Avg Wage Growth
+3.2%
Median annual wage change
High-Risk Roles
127
Occupations with >70% AI exposure

Total occupations tracked

832

Covering all SOC major groups

Data currency

2024

BLS Employment Projections

AI exposure avg

40%

Fleet-wide median across all roles

Methodology confidence 92.0%
Industry standard

Composite score weighing O*NET task data completeness, BLS projection methodology, and cross-validation with employer risk grades.

Employment Projections

22,500
Employment 2024
20,600
Projected 2034
-8.3%
Change (%)
-1,900
Change (jobs)

Occupation Insight

Rolling machine setters, operators, and tenders, metal and plastic (SOC 51-4023) carries an AI exposure score of 45%, placing it in the High automation-risk tier. This score is computed from O*NET Database 30.0 task-level analysis, where each task an occupation performs is evaluated against current generative AI, robotic process automation, and machine-learning capabilities. A score in the 40–70% range indicates meaningful automation pressure on specific task categories, but the role as a whole still requires human judgment for coordination, exception handling, or client interaction.

The economic context matters alongside the risk score. BLS counted approximately 22,500 workers in this occupation in 2024, and projects a -8.3% change through 2034 — a decline that often compounds with high AI exposure to create displacement headwinds. Median annual compensation stands at $48,630, reflecting both skill scarcity and the value employers place on the tasks that remain difficult to automate. Entry typically requires High school diploma or equivalent, plus None of related experience.

For career planners, this profile should be read alongside the task, skill, and knowledge breakdowns below and the list of employers whose workforce composition includes Rolling machine setters, operators, and tenders, metal and plastic. Adjacent occupations shown further down offer lateral moves that preserve industry knowledge while potentially reducing exposure. Pair the AI exposure score with the BLS employment projection and wage percentiles above for a complete career assessment.

Education & Entry Requirements

Typical Education
High school diploma or equivalent
Work Experience
None
On-the-Job Training
Moderate-term on-the-job training

Top Tasks (O*NET)

  1. 1. Monitor machine cycles and mill operation to detect jamming and to ensure that products conform to specifications.
  2. 2. Adjust and correct machine set-ups to reduce thicknesses, reshape products, and eliminate product defects.
  3. 3. Start operation of rolling and milling machines to flatten, temper, form, and reduce sheet metal sections and to produce steel strips.
  4. 4. Examine, inspect, and measure raw materials and finished products to verify conformance to specifications.
  5. 5. Read rolling orders, blueprints, and mill schedules to determine setup specifications, work sequences, product dimensions, and installation procedures.
  6. 6. Thread or feed sheets or rods through rolling mechanisms, or start and control mechanisms that automatically feed steel into rollers.
  7. 7. Manipulate controls and observe dial indicators to monitor, adjust, and regulate speeds of machine mechanisms.
  8. 8. Set distance points between rolls, guides, meters, and stops, according to specifications.
  9. 9. Calculate draft space and roll speed for each mill stand to plan rolling sequences and specified dimensions and tempers.
  10. 10. Install equipment such as guides, guards, gears, cooling equipment, and rolls, using hand tools.

Key Skills Required

  • Operations Monitoring
  • Operation and Control
  • Quality Control Analysis
  • Monitoring
  • Speaking
  • Active Listening
  • Critical Thinking
  • Reading Comprehension
  • Active Learning
  • Coordination

Knowledge Areas

  • Mechanical
  • Production and Processing
  • English Language
  • Education and Training
  • Administration and Management
  • Customer and Personal Service
  • Engineering and Technology
  • Mathematics
  • Public Safety and Security
  • Computers and Electronics

Frequently Asked Questions

Will AI replace Rolling machine setters, operators, and tenders, metal and plastic?

Rolling machine setters, operators, and tenders, metal and plastic has an AI exposure score of 45%, indicating a high level of automation risk. Some tasks in this role can be augmented or partially automated by AI, but core responsibilities require human judgment.

What is the job outlook for Rolling machine setters, operators, and tenders, metal and plastic?

According to BLS Employment Projections 2024-2034, Rolling machine setters, operators, and tenders, metal and plastic is projected to decline by 8.3% over the decade. Current employment stands at approximately 22,500 workers.

What skills are needed for Rolling machine setters, operators, and tenders, metal and plastic?

Key skills for Rolling machine setters, operators, and tenders, metal and plastic include Operations Monitoring, Operation and Control, Quality Control Analysis, and others. Typical entry-level education is High school diploma or equivalent.

How much do Rolling machine setters, operators, and tenders, metal and plastic earn?

The median annual wage for Rolling machine setters, operators, and tenders, metal and plastic is $48,630, according to BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics (May 2024). Actual earnings vary by location, experience, industry, and employer. The BLS publishes detailed wage percentiles by region in its Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics program.

What education is required for Rolling machine setters, operators, and tenders, metal and plastic?

The typical entry-level education for Rolling machine setters, operators, and tenders, metal and plastic is High school diploma or equivalent. Employers generally expect None of related work experience. On-the-job training typically involves Moderate-term on-the-job training. Requirements can vary by employer and specialization.

Which companies employ Rolling machine setters, operators, and tenders, metal and plastic?

Rolling machine setters, operators, and tenders, metal and plastic roles exist across many industries and employers. Workforce composition is estimated from BLS industry-occupation employment distributions matched to SEC-registered public companies.

AI Exposure Rating

2.3
out of 5.0

High automation risk based on 10 analyzed tasks. A moderate share of tasks may be augmented by AI tools.

Data sources: Bureau of Labor Statistics Employment Projections 2024–2034 and O*NET Database 30.0. Employment figures are rounded. Wage data from BLS Occupational Employment Statistics (OES).

Related

Data sourced from official public datasets. See our methodology for details. Retrieved and formatted by PlainWorkforce Editorial