Medium AI Risk Declining

Paper goods machine setters, operators, and tenders

SOC Code: 51-9196

Paper goods machine setters, operators, and tenders carries a 32% AI exposure score (Medium automation risk), with a median annual wage of $49,390 and -6.3% projected employment growth from 2024 to 2034 (BLS), affecting approximately 97,500 workers. Full task breakdown, skills, and employer data are below.

AI Exposure Score
32% Medium

Proportion of tasks susceptible to AI automation (O*NET analysis)

Projected Growth
-6.3%
2024–2034 (BLS)
-6,100 jobs
Median Annual Wage
$49,390
BLS May 2024
How wage figures are sourced →

AI Exposure vs Industry Growth

Workforce demand by occupation Sanctioned bespoke signature viz (@signature-viz, KIZ-799) showing occupation-level workforce demand from BLS OEWS data. Pure SVG, no external dependencies.Projected Growth 2024-2034 (BLS)Technology+12.8%Healthcare+10.2%Professional+7.8%Education+5.8%Construction+4.5%Finance+4.6%Logistics+3.2%Government+1.2%Manufacturing-2.1%Retail-3.4%
National AI Exposure
40%
Average across all occupations
Avg Wage Growth
+3.2%
Median annual wage change
High-Risk Roles
127
Occupations with >70% AI exposure

Total occupations tracked

832

Covering all SOC major groups

Data currency

2024

BLS Employment Projections

AI exposure avg

40%

Fleet-wide median across all roles

Methodology confidence 92.0%
Industry standard

Composite score weighing O*NET task data completeness, BLS projection methodology, and cross-validation with employer risk grades.

Employment Projections

97,500
Employment 2024
91,400
Projected 2034
-6.3%
Change (%)
-6,100
Change (jobs)

Occupation Insight

Paper goods machine setters, operators, and tenders (SOC 51-9196) carries an AI exposure score of 32%, placing it in the Medium automation-risk tier. This score is computed from O*NET Database 30.0 task-level analysis, where each task an occupation performs is evaluated against current generative AI, robotic process automation, and machine-learning capabilities. A score below 40% reflects tasks anchored in physical dexterity, unstructured environments, or high-touch human interaction that current AI cannot reliably replicate.

The economic context matters alongside the risk score. BLS counted approximately 97,500 workers in this occupation in 2024, and projects a -6.3% change through 2034 — a decline that often compounds with high AI exposure to create displacement headwinds. Median annual compensation stands at $49,390, reflecting both skill scarcity and the value employers place on the tasks that remain difficult to automate. Entry typically requires High school diploma or equivalent, plus None of related experience.

For career planners, this profile should be read alongside the task, skill, and knowledge breakdowns below and the list of employers whose workforce composition includes Paper goods machine setters, operators, and tenders. Adjacent occupations shown further down offer lateral moves that preserve industry knowledge while potentially reducing exposure. Pair the AI exposure score with the BLS employment projection and wage percentiles above for a complete career assessment.

Education & Entry Requirements

Typical Education
High school diploma or equivalent
Work Experience
None
On-the-Job Training
Moderate-term on-the-job training

Top Tasks (O*NET)

  1. 1. Examine completed work to detect defects and verify conformance to work orders, and adjust machinery as necessary to correct production problems.
  2. 2. Observe operation of various machines to detect and correct machine malfunctions such as improper forming, glue flow, or pasteboard tension.
  3. 3. Install attachments to machines for gluing, folding, printing, or cutting.
  4. 4. Cut products to specified dimensions, using hand or power cutters.
  5. 5. Place rolls of paper or cardboard on machine feed tracks, and thread paper through gluing, coating, and slitting rollers.
  6. 6. Monitor finished cartons as they drop from forming machines into rotating hoppers and into gravity feed chutes to prevent jamming.
  7. 7. Adjust guide assemblies, forming bars, and folding mechanisms according to specifications, using hand tools.
  8. 8. Start machines and move controls to regulate tension on pressure rolls, to synchronize speed of machine components, and to adjust temperatures of glue or paraffin.
  9. 9. Measure, space, and set saw blades, cutters, and perforators, according to product specifications.
  10. 10. Fill glue and paraffin reservoirs, and position rollers to dispense glue onto paperboard.

Key Skills Required

  • Operations Monitoring
  • Operation and Control
  • Quality Control Analysis
  • Active Listening
  • Speaking
  • Critical Thinking
  • Monitoring
  • Time Management
  • Active Learning
  • Social Perceptiveness

Knowledge Areas

  • Production and Processing
  • Mechanical
  • Mathematics
  • Customer and Personal Service
  • English Language
  • Education and Training
  • Public Safety and Security
  • Engineering and Technology
  • Computers and Electronics
  • Administration and Management

Frequently Asked Questions

Will AI replace Paper goods machine setters, operators, and tenders?

Paper goods machine setters, operators, and tenders has an AI exposure score of 32%, indicating a medium level of automation risk. The majority of tasks in this role require human judgment, creativity, or physical presence that AI cannot easily replicate.

What is the job outlook for Paper goods machine setters, operators, and tenders?

According to BLS Employment Projections 2024-2034, Paper goods machine setters, operators, and tenders is projected to decline by 6.3% over the decade. Current employment stands at approximately 97,500 workers.

What skills are needed for Paper goods machine setters, operators, and tenders?

Key skills for Paper goods machine setters, operators, and tenders include Operations Monitoring, Operation and Control, Quality Control Analysis, and others. Typical entry-level education is High school diploma or equivalent.

How much do Paper goods machine setters, operators, and tenders earn?

The median annual wage for Paper goods machine setters, operators, and tenders is $49,390, according to BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics (May 2024). Actual earnings vary by location, experience, industry, and employer. The BLS publishes detailed wage percentiles by region in its Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics program.

What education is required for Paper goods machine setters, operators, and tenders?

The typical entry-level education for Paper goods machine setters, operators, and tenders is High school diploma or equivalent. Employers generally expect None of related work experience. On-the-job training typically involves Moderate-term on-the-job training. Requirements can vary by employer and specialization.

Which companies employ Paper goods machine setters, operators, and tenders?

Paper goods machine setters, operators, and tenders roles exist across many industries and employers. Workforce composition is estimated from BLS industry-occupation employment distributions matched to SEC-registered public companies.

AI Exposure Rating

1.6
out of 5.0

Medium automation risk based on 10 analyzed tasks. Most tasks require human judgment and are resistant to automation.

Data sources: Bureau of Labor Statistics Employment Projections 2024–2034 and O*NET Database 30.0. Employment figures are rounded. Wage data from BLS Occupational Employment Statistics (OES).

Related

Data sourced from official public datasets. See our methodology for details. Retrieved and formatted by PlainWorkforce Editorial