Very High AI Risk Declining

Payroll and timekeeping clerks

SOC Code: 43-3051

Payroll and timekeeping clerks carries a 79% AI exposure score (Very High automation risk), with a median annual wage of $55,290 and -16.7% projected employment growth from 2024 to 2034 (BLS), affecting approximately 161,100 workers. Full task breakdown, skills, and employer data are below.

AI Exposure Score
79% Very High
High exposure

Proportion of tasks susceptible to AI automation (O*NET analysis)

Projected Growth
-16.7%
Bottom 10% growth
2024–2034 (BLS)
-27,000 jobs
Median Annual Wage
$55,290
Typical pay
BLS May 2024
How wage figures are sourced →
The verdict

At 79% AI exposure, Payroll and timekeeping clerks sits 42 points above the 37.2% average across 832 U.S. occupations - among the most AI-exposed occupations tracked. It is one of just 21 occupations above the 70% high-exposure line.

79%
AI exposure
Top 1%
most exposed
-16.7%
Job growth 2024–34
$55,290
Median wage
F

Career outlook score

17/100

Payroll and timekeeping clerks, weighted across 3 of 3 tracked dimensions

A weighted composite of median wage, projected growth, and AI-automation security (inverted exposure), each benchmarked against every other tracked occupation. It describes this occupation's standing across those three dimensions, not a guarantee of future outcomes.

  • Median wage D $55,290

    Annual median wage, percentile rank vs all tracked occupations

  • Projected growth F -16.7%

    Projected employment change, 2024-2034, BLS Employment Projections

  • AI exposure (inverted) F 79% exposure

    Lower O*NET task-automability scores lower risk; this dimension scores security, not exposure

Employment vs AI exposure

Home health and personal care aides is #1 of 832 occupations by employment (4.3M, AI exposure rank #392 at 35%) vs. Bookkeeping, accounting, and auditing clerks #1 by AI task exposure (95%, employment rank #17 at 1.6M).

4.3M
Home health and personal care aides employment (#1)
#392
Home health and personal care aides AI rank
95%
Bookkeeping, accounting, and auditing clerks AI exposure (#1)
#17
Bookkeeping, accounting, and auditing clerks employment rank

Automation-risk inventory

Exclusive cut of 832 occupations by PlainWorkforce automation-risk band. Orthogonal to the continuous AI-exposure distribution chart below and to this occupation's single risk badge, this is the corpus band mix, with Payroll and timekeeping clerks in the Very High band.

Credential × growth standing

Open entry on a declining BLS line

Typical entry is HS / some college (333/832) while growth is Declining (111/832). This is the crowded high-risk corner of the map - automation and headcount pressure compound without a degree moat.

Where Payroll and timekeeping clerks sits among all occupations

AI-exposure score distribution across 832 U.S. occupations (O*NET task analysis). This occupation is marked in rose.

Where Payroll and timekeeping clerks sits by AI exposure

AI-exposure score distribution across U.S. occupations (O*NET task analysis)

79% Higher than most higher than 99% of 832 occupations

Occupations, banded by AI-exposure score

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more occupations. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count and share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source O*NET task data (U.S. Department of Labor) · BLS 2024–2034

Source: O*NET task data (U.S. Department of Labor); AI-exposure scores are PlainWorkforce's analysis. As of BLS 2024–2034.

Payroll and timekeeping clerks vs. its occupational neighbors

AI exposure (horizontal) vs projected 2024–2034 growth (vertical) for occupations in the same SOC group. Payroll and timekeeping clerks is marked in rose; the top-left corner is the most future-proof.

Future-proofGrowing but exposedStable, lower-AIMost at risk34.1%50.1%66%82.0%97.9%-17.7%-12.0%-6.2%-0.5%5.2%AI exposure (%) →Projected growth (%) →Payroll, AI exposure (%) →: 79% · Projected growth (%) →: -16.7%PayrollCustomer service rep, AI exposure (%) →: 56% · Projected growth (%) →: -5.5%Customer service repOffice clerks, AI exposure (%) →: 84% · Projected growth (%) →: -6.7%Office clerksSecretaries, AI exposure (%) →: 77% · Projected growth (%) →: -1.6%SecretariesBookkeeping, AI exposure (%) →: 95% · Projected growth (%) →: -5.8%BookkeepingFirst-line superviso, AI exposure (%) →: 55% · Projected growth (%) →: -0.3%First-line supervisoReceptionists, AI exposure (%) →: 76% · Projected growth (%) →: 0%ReceptionistsShipping, AI exposure (%) →: 60% · Projected growth (%) →: -7.7%ShippingMedical secretaries, AI exposure (%) →: 80% · Projected growth (%) →: 4.2%Medical secretariesExecutive secretarie, AI exposure (%) →: 83% · Projected growth (%) →: -1.6%Executive secretarieBilling, AI exposure (%) →: 88% · Projected growth (%) →: -0.4%BillingProduction, AI exposure (%) →: 69% · Projected growth (%) →: -1.8%Production

Source: BLS Employment Projections 2024–2034 (growth) and O*NET (AI-exposure analysis by PlainWorkforce).

Employment Projections

161,100
Employment 2024
134,200
Projected 2034
-16.7%
Change (%)
-27,000
Change (jobs)

Where This Score Comes From

Payroll and timekeeping clerks's Very High automation-risk tier is computed from O*NET Database 30.0 task-level analysis, where each documented task the occupation performs is evaluated against current generative AI, robotic process automation, and machine-learning capabilities. A score above 70% signals that the majority of core duties are already technically automatable, workers in these roles face the steepest near-term displacement pressure.

The employment, wage, and education figures above come from a second, separate federal source: BLS Employment Projections 2024–2034, matched to the O*NET task data by Standard Occupational Classification (SOC 43-3051) code, with the wage figure cross-validated against the BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics (OEWS) May 2024 survey. BLS figures are presented exactly as published, with no adjustment on our part; the SOC-code match is what lets Payroll and timekeeping clerks be compared directly against every other tracked occupation on the same basis, not just roles that happen to share a job title.

For career planners, this profile should be read alongside the task, skill, and knowledge breakdowns below and the list of employers whose workforce composition includes Payroll and timekeeping clerks. Adjacent occupations shown further down offer lateral moves that preserve industry knowledge while potentially reducing exposure.

Education & Entry Requirements

Typical Education
High school diploma or equivalent
Work Experience
None
On-the-Job Training
Moderate-term on-the-job training

Top Tasks (O*NET)

  1. 1. Verify attendance, hours worked, and pay adjustments, and post information onto designated records.
  2. 2. Process and issue employee paychecks and statements of earnings and deductions.
  3. 3. Compute wages and deductions, and enter data into computers.
  4. 4. Prepare and file payroll tax returns.
  5. 5. Process paperwork for new employees and enter employee information into the payroll system.
  6. 6. Prepare and balance period-end reports, and reconcile issued payrolls to bank statements.
  7. 7. Review time sheets, work charts, wage computation, and other information to detect and reconcile payroll discrepancies.
  8. 8. Distribute and collect timecards each pay period.
  9. 9. Record employee information, such as exemptions, transfers, and resignations, to maintain and update payroll records.
  10. 10. Issue and record adjustments to pay related to previous errors or retroactive increases.

Key Skills Required

  • Reading Comprehension
  • Active Listening
  • Mathematics
  • Writing
  • Speaking
  • Critical Thinking
  • Monitoring
  • Service Orientation
  • Complex Problem Solving
  • Social Perceptiveness

Knowledge Areas

  • Administrative
  • Mathematics
  • English Language
  • Economics and Accounting
  • Personnel and Human Resources
  • Administration and Management
  • Customer and Personal Service
  • Computers and Electronics
  • Communications and Media
  • Education and Training

Frequently Asked Questions

Will AI replace Payroll and timekeeping clerks?

Payroll and timekeeping clerks has an AI exposure score of 79%, indicating a very high level of automation risk. Many tasks in this role involve routine data processing and pattern recognition that current AI systems can perform.

What is the job outlook for Payroll and timekeeping clerks?

According to BLS Employment Projections 2024-2034, Payroll and timekeeping clerks is projected to decline by 16.7% over the decade. Current employment stands at approximately 161,100 workers.

What skills are needed for Payroll and timekeeping clerks?

Key skills for Payroll and timekeeping clerks include Reading Comprehension, Active Listening, Mathematics, and others. Typical entry-level education is High school diploma or equivalent.

How much do Payroll and timekeeping clerks earn?

The median annual wage for Payroll and timekeeping clerks is $55,290, according to BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics (May 2024). Actual earnings vary by location, experience, industry, and employer. The BLS publishes detailed wage percentiles by region in its Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics program.

What education is required for Payroll and timekeeping clerks?

The typical entry-level education for Payroll and timekeeping clerks is High school diploma or equivalent. Employers generally expect None of related work experience. On-the-job training typically involves Moderate-term on-the-job training. Requirements can vary by employer and specialization.

Which companies employ Payroll and timekeeping clerks?

Payroll and timekeeping clerks roles exist across many industries and employers. Workforce composition is estimated from BLS industry-occupation employment distributions matched to SEC-registered public companies.

AI Exposure Rating

4.0
out of 5.0

Very High automation risk based on 10 analyzed tasks. A majority of tasks in this occupation are susceptible to AI automation.

Nationwide occupations with similar workforce profiles

Two data-derived peer sets for Payroll and timekeeping clerks: AI-exposure neighbors and BLS 2034 growth neighbors (distinct comparison neighborhoods, cross-occupation).

Similar AI exposure score

Nearest O*NET task-automability scores nationwide (79% here).

Similar projected growth (2024–2034)

Nearest BLS employment change rates nationwide (-16.7% here).

Peers are nearest-neighbor matches on published BLS + O*NET metrics among occupations with ≥10,000 workers in 2024; corpus ranks above sort the full tracked set.

What to do with this

Use Payroll and timekeeping clerks' numbers above to compare, not just read in isolation.

AI exposure scores estimate task automatability from O*NET data; they are not a certainty of job loss, and BLS growth projections are estimates, not guarantees.

Data sources: Bureau of Labor Statistics Employment Projections 2024–2034 and O*NET Database 30.0. Employment figures are rounded. Wage data from BLS Occupational Employment Statistics (OES).

Every figure on PlainWorkforce is rendered directly from BLS/O*NET source data, no number is typed in by an editor. See our editorial standards & corrections policy, the methodology behind these figures, or report a data error. Data current as of BLS Employment Projections 2024-2034.

Sources: BLS Employment Projections 2024-2034, O*NET Database 30.0.