High AI Risk Slow Growth

Retail salespersons

SOC Code: 41-2031

Retail salespersons carries a 45% AI exposure score (High automation risk), with a median annual wage of $34,580 and -0.5% projected employment growth from 2024 to 2034 (BLS), affecting approximately 3,936,700 workers. Full task breakdown, skills, and employer data are below.

AI Exposure Score
45% High
Above-average exposure

Proportion of tasks susceptible to AI automation (O*NET analysis)

Projected Growth
-0.5%
Typical growth
2024–2034 (BLS)
-19,600 jobs
Median Annual Wage
$34,580
Bottom 10% pay
BLS May 2024
How wage figures are sourced →
The verdict

At 45% AI exposure, Retail salespersons sits 8 points above the 37.2% average across 832 U.S. occupations - more exposed than 81% of them. Most of its core tasks still require human judgment.

45%
AI exposure
Top 19%
most exposed
-0.5%
Job growth 2024–34
$34,580
Median wage
F

Career outlook score

17/100

Retail salespersons, weighted across 3 of 3 tracked dimensions

A weighted composite of median wage, projected growth, and AI-automation security (inverted exposure), each benchmarked against every other tracked occupation. It describes this occupation's standing across those three dimensions, not a guarantee of future outcomes.

  • Median wage F $34,580

    Annual median wage, percentile rank vs all tracked occupations

  • Projected growth F -0.5%

    Projected employment change, 2024-2034, BLS Employment Projections

  • AI exposure (inverted) F 45% exposure

    Lower O*NET task-automability scores lower risk; this dimension scores security, not exposure

Employment vs AI exposure

Home health and personal care aides is #1 of 832 occupations by employment (4.3M, AI exposure rank #392 at 35%) vs. Bookkeeping, accounting, and auditing clerks #1 by AI task exposure (95%, employment rank #17 at 1.6M).

4.3M
Home health and personal care aides employment (#1)
#392
Home health and personal care aides AI rank
95%
Bookkeeping, accounting, and auditing clerks AI exposure (#1)
#17
Bookkeeping, accounting, and auditing clerks employment rank

Automation-risk inventory

Exclusive cut of 832 occupations by PlainWorkforce automation-risk band. Orthogonal to the continuous AI-exposure distribution chart below and to this occupation's single risk badge, this is the corpus band mix, with Retail salespersons in the High band.

Credential × growth standing

Open entry with non-declining BLS pace

Retail salespersons keeps an No credential bar (109 of 832) and sits in Slow growth (245 of 832). Lower formal gates with a non-shrinking employment line - skill and AI desks matter more than credentials here.

Where Retail salespersons sits among all occupations

AI-exposure score distribution across 832 U.S. occupations (O*NET task analysis). This occupation is marked in rose.

Where Retail salespersons sits by AI exposure

AI-exposure score distribution across U.S. occupations (O*NET task analysis)

45% Higher than most higher than 81% of 832 occupations

Occupations, banded by AI-exposure score

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more occupations. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count and share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source O*NET task data (U.S. Department of Labor) · BLS 2024–2034

Source: O*NET task data (U.S. Department of Labor); AI-exposure scores are PlainWorkforce's analysis. As of BLS 2024–2034.

Retail salespersons vs. its occupational neighbors

AI exposure (horizontal) vs projected 2024–2034 growth (vertical) for occupations in the same SOC group. Retail salespersons is marked in rose; the top-left corner is the most future-proof.

Future-proofGrowing but exposedStable, lower-AIMost at risk27.4%36.2%45%53.8%62.6%-10.6%-6.8%-3.1%0.6%4.4%AI exposure (%) →Projected growth (%) →Retail salespersons, AI exposure (%) →: 45% · Projected growth (%) →: -0.5%Retail salespersonsCashiers, AI exposure (%) →: 61% · Projected growth (%) →: -9.9%CashiersFirst-line superviso, AI exposure (%) →: 45% · Projected growth (%) →: -5%First-line supervisoSales representative, AI exposure (%) →: 39% · Projected growth (%) →: 0.3%Sales representativeSales representative, AI exposure (%) →: 38% · Projected growth (%) →: 3.1%Sales representativeInsurance sales agen, AI exposure (%) →: 40% · Projected growth (%) →: 3.7%Insurance sales agenSecurities, AI exposure (%) →: 53% · Projected growth (%) →: 3.3%SecuritiesReal estate sales ag, AI exposure (%) →: 29% · Projected growth (%) →: 3.1%Real estate sales agCounter, AI exposure (%) →: 42% · Projected growth (%) →: 3.2%CounterFirst-line superviso, AI exposure (%) →: 45% · Projected growth (%) →: 0%First-line supervisoSales representative, AI exposure (%) →: 51% · Projected growth (%) →: 1.9%Sales representative

Source: BLS Employment Projections 2024–2034 (growth) and O*NET (AI-exposure analysis by PlainWorkforce).

Employment Projections

3,936,700
Employment 2024
3,917,100
Projected 2034
-0.5%
Change (%)
-19,600
Change (jobs)

Where This Score Comes From

Retail salespersons's High automation-risk tier is computed from O*NET Database 30.0 task-level analysis, where each documented task the occupation performs is evaluated against current generative AI, robotic process automation, and machine-learning capabilities. A score in the 40–70% range indicates meaningful automation pressure on specific task categories, but the role as a whole still requires human judgment for coordination, exception handling, or client interaction.

The employment, wage, and education figures above come from a second, separate federal source: BLS Employment Projections 2024–2034, matched to the O*NET task data by Standard Occupational Classification (SOC 41-2031) code, with the wage figure cross-validated against the BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics (OEWS) May 2024 survey. BLS figures are presented exactly as published, with no adjustment on our part; the SOC-code match is what lets Retail salespersons be compared directly against every other tracked occupation on the same basis, not just roles that happen to share a job title.

For career planners, this profile should be read alongside the task, skill, and knowledge breakdowns below and the list of employers whose workforce composition includes Retail salespersons. Adjacent occupations shown further down offer lateral moves that preserve industry knowledge while potentially reducing exposure.

Education & Entry Requirements

Typical Education
No formal educational credential
Work Experience
None
On-the-Job Training
Short-term on-the-job training

Top Tasks (O*NET)

  1. 1. Greet customers and ascertain what each customer wants or needs.
  2. 2. Recommend, select, and help locate or obtain merchandise based on customer needs and desires.
  3. 3. Maintain records related to sales.
  4. 4. Compute sales prices, total purchases, and receive and process cash or credit payment.
  5. 5. Prepare merchandise for purchase or rental.
  6. 6. Answer questions regarding the store and its merchandise.
  7. 7. Maintain knowledge of current sales and promotions, policies regarding payment and exchanges, and security practices.
  8. 8. Open and close cash registers, performing tasks such as counting money, separating charge slips, coupons, and vouchers, balancing cash drawers, and making deposits.
  9. 9. Prepare sales slips or sales contracts.
  10. 10. Demonstrate use or operation of merchandise.

Key Skills Required

  • Persuasion
  • Active Listening
  • Speaking
  • Service Orientation
  • Social Perceptiveness
  • Negotiation
  • Critical Thinking
  • Reading Comprehension
  • Writing
  • Active Learning

Knowledge Areas

  • Sales and Marketing
  • Customer and Personal Service
  • English Language
  • Administration and Management
  • Mathematics
  • Administrative
  • Psychology
  • Computers and Electronics
  • Education and Training
  • Communications and Media

Frequently Asked Questions

Will AI replace Retail salespersons?

Retail salespersons has an AI exposure score of 45%, indicating a high level of automation risk. Some tasks in this role can be augmented or partially automated by AI, but core responsibilities require human judgment.

What is the job outlook for Retail salespersons?

According to BLS Employment Projections 2024-2034, Retail salespersons is projected to decline by 0.5% over the decade. Current employment stands at approximately 3,936,700 workers.

What skills are needed for Retail salespersons?

Key skills for Retail salespersons include Persuasion, Active Listening, Speaking, and others. Typical entry-level education is No formal educational credential.

How much do Retail salespersons earn?

The median annual wage for Retail salespersons is $34,580, according to BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics (May 2024). Actual earnings vary by location, experience, industry, and employer. The BLS publishes detailed wage percentiles by region in its Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics program.

What education is required for Retail salespersons?

The typical entry-level education for Retail salespersons is No formal educational credential. Employers generally expect None of related work experience. On-the-job training typically involves Short-term on-the-job training. Requirements can vary by employer and specialization.

Which companies employ Retail salespersons?

Retail salespersons roles exist across many industries and employers. Workforce composition is estimated from BLS industry-occupation employment distributions matched to SEC-registered public companies.

AI Exposure Rating

2.3
out of 5.0

High automation risk based on 10 analyzed tasks. A moderate share of tasks may be augmented by AI tools.

Nationwide occupations with similar workforce profiles

Two data-derived peer sets for Retail salespersons: AI-exposure neighbors and BLS 2034 growth neighbors (distinct comparison neighborhoods, cross-occupation).

Similar AI exposure score

Nearest O*NET task-automability scores nationwide (45% here).

Similar projected growth (2024–2034)

Nearest BLS employment change rates nationwide (-0.5% here).

Peers are nearest-neighbor matches on published BLS + O*NET metrics among occupations with ≥10,000 workers in 2024; corpus ranks above sort the full tracked set.

What to do with this

Use Retail salespersons' numbers above to compare, not just read in isolation.

AI exposure scores estimate task automatability from O*NET data; they are not a certainty of job loss, and BLS growth projections are estimates, not guarantees.

Data sources: Bureau of Labor Statistics Employment Projections 2024–2034 and O*NET Database 30.0. Employment figures are rounded. Wage data from BLS Occupational Employment Statistics (OES).

Every figure on PlainWorkforce is rendered directly from BLS/O*NET source data, no number is typed in by an editor. See our editorial standards & corrections policy, the methodology behind these figures, or report a data error. Data current as of BLS Employment Projections 2024-2034.

Sources: BLS Employment Projections 2024-2034, O*NET Database 30.0.