Medium AI Risk Average

Sheet metal workers

SOC Code: 47-2211

Sheet metal workers carries a 23% AI exposure score (Medium automation risk), with a median annual wage of $60,850 and +2.4% projected employment growth from 2024 to 2034 (BLS), affecting approximately 127,000 workers. Full task breakdown, skills, and employer data are below.

AI Exposure Score
23% Medium
Below-average exposure

Proportion of tasks susceptible to AI automation (O*NET analysis)

Projected Growth
+2.4%
Typical growth
2024–2034 (BLS)
+3,100 jobs
Median Annual Wage
$60,850
Typical pay
BLS May 2024
How wage figures are sourced →
The verdict

At 23% AI exposure, Sheet metal workers sits 14 points below the 37.2% average across 832 U.S. occupations - more exposed than 11% of them. It ranks among the more AI-resilient roles in the dataset.

23%
AI exposure
11th
percentile
+2.4%
Job growth 2024–34
$60,850
Median wage
C+

Career outlook score

63/100

Sheet metal workers, weighted across 3 of 3 tracked dimensions

A weighted composite of median wage, projected growth, and AI-automation security (inverted exposure), each benchmarked against every other tracked occupation. It describes this occupation's standing across those three dimensions, not a guarantee of future outcomes.

  • Median wage C- $60,850

    Annual median wage, percentile rank vs all tracked occupations

  • Projected growth D +2.4%

    Projected employment change, 2024-2034, BLS Employment Projections

  • AI exposure (inverted) A 23% exposure

    Lower O*NET task-automability scores lower risk; this dimension scores security, not exposure

Employment vs AI exposure

Home health and personal care aides is #1 of 832 occupations by employment (4.3M, AI exposure rank #392 at 35%) vs. Bookkeeping, accounting, and auditing clerks #1 by AI task exposure (95%, employment rank #17 at 1.6M).

4.3M
Home health and personal care aides employment (#1)
#392
Home health and personal care aides AI rank
95%
Bookkeeping, accounting, and auditing clerks AI exposure (#1)
#17
Bookkeeping, accounting, and auditing clerks employment rank

Automation-risk inventory

Exclusive cut of 832 occupations by PlainWorkforce automation-risk band. Orthogonal to the continuous AI-exposure distribution chart below and to this occupation's single risk badge, this is the corpus band mix, with Sheet metal workers in the Medium band.

Credential × growth standing

Open entry with non-declining BLS pace

Sheet metal workers keeps an HS / some college bar (333 of 832) and sits in Average (378 of 832). Lower formal gates with a non-shrinking employment line - skill and AI desks matter more than credentials here.

Where Sheet metal workers sits among all occupations

AI-exposure score distribution across 832 U.S. occupations (O*NET task analysis). This occupation is marked in rose.

Where Sheet metal workers sits by AI exposure

AI-exposure score distribution across U.S. occupations (O*NET task analysis)

23% Among the lowest lower than 89% of 832 occupations

Occupations, banded by AI-exposure score

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more occupations. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count and share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source O*NET task data (U.S. Department of Labor) · BLS 2024–2034

Source: O*NET task data (U.S. Department of Labor); AI-exposure scores are PlainWorkforce's analysis. As of BLS 2024–2034.

Sheet metal workers vs. its occupational neighbors

AI exposure (horizontal) vs projected 2024–2034 growth (vertical) for occupations in the same SOC group. Sheet metal workers is marked in rose; the top-left corner is the most future-proof.

Future-proofGrowing but exposedStable, lower-AIMost at risk11.8%18.4%25%31.6%38.2%-1.3%1.5%4.3%7.2%10.0%AI exposure (%) →Projected growth (%) →Sheet metal workers, AI exposure (%) →: 23% · Projected growth (%) →: 2.4%Sheet metal workersConstruction laborer, AI exposure (%) →: 15% · Projected growth (%) →: 7.3%Construction laborerCarpenters, AI exposure (%) →: 28% · Projected growth (%) →: 4.5%CarpentersFirst-line superviso, AI exposure (%) →: 32% · Projected growth (%) →: 5.3%First-line supervisoElectricians, AI exposure (%) →: 13% · Projected growth (%) →: 9.5%ElectriciansPlumbers, AI exposure (%) →: 27% · Projected growth (%) →: 4.5%PlumbersOperating engineers, AI exposure (%) →: 25% · Projected growth (%) →: 3.6%Operating engineersPainters, AI exposure (%) →: 27% · Projected growth (%) →: 3.8%PaintersCement masons, AI exposure (%) →: 15% · Projected growth (%) →: 1.8%Cement masonsRoofers, AI exposure (%) →: 17% · Projected growth (%) →: 5.9%RoofersHighway maintenance , AI exposure (%) →: 21% · Projected growth (%) →: 3%Highway maintenance Construction, AI exposure (%) →: 37% · Projected growth (%) →: -0.8%Construction

Source: BLS Employment Projections 2024–2034 (growth) and O*NET (AI-exposure analysis by PlainWorkforce).

Employment Projections

127,000
Employment 2024
130,100
Projected 2034
+2.4%
Change (%)
+3,100
Change (jobs)

Where This Score Comes From

Sheet metal workers's Medium automation-risk tier is computed from O*NET Database 30.0 task-level analysis, where each documented task the occupation performs is evaluated against current generative AI, robotic process automation, and machine-learning capabilities. A score below 40% reflects tasks anchored in physical dexterity, unstructured environments, or high-touch human interaction that current AI cannot reliably replicate.

The employment, wage, and education figures above come from a second, separate federal source: BLS Employment Projections 2024–2034, matched to the O*NET task data by Standard Occupational Classification (SOC 47-2211) code, with the wage figure cross-validated against the BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics (OEWS) May 2024 survey. BLS figures are presented exactly as published, with no adjustment on our part; the SOC-code match is what lets Sheet metal workers be compared directly against every other tracked occupation on the same basis, not just roles that happen to share a job title.

For career planners, this profile should be read alongside the task, skill, and knowledge breakdowns below and the list of employers whose workforce composition includes Sheet metal workers. Adjacent occupations shown further down offer lateral moves that preserve industry knowledge while potentially reducing exposure.

Education & Entry Requirements

Typical Education
High school diploma or equivalent
Work Experience
None
On-the-Job Training
Apprenticeship

Registered Apprenticeship Pathway Available

Sheet metal workers is a recognized registered apprenticeship occupation under the DOL RAPIDS system. Earn while you train, apprentices typically start at ~$16/hr and reach $28–$46/hr upon completion, depending on the specific trade and region.

Top Tasks (O*NET)

  1. 1. Inspect individual parts, assemblies, or installations, using measuring instruments, such as calipers, scales, or micrometers.
  2. 2. Maintain equipment, making repairs or modifications when necessary.
  3. 3. Fabricate ducts for high efficiency heating, ventilating, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems to maximize efficiency of systems.
  4. 4. Fasten seams or joints together with welds, bolts, cement, rivets, solder, caulks, metal drive clips, or bonds to assemble components into products or to repair sheet metal items.
  5. 5. Transport prefabricated parts to construction sites for assembly and installation.
  6. 6. Install assemblies, such as flashing, pipes, tubes, heating and air conditioning ducts, furnace casings, rain gutters, or downspouts in supportive frameworks.
  7. 7. Hire, train, or supervise new employees or apprentices.
  8. 8. Lay out, measure, and mark dimensions and reference lines on material, such as roofing panels, using calculators, scribes, dividers, squares, or rulers.
  9. 9. Fabricate or alter parts at construction sites, using shears, hammers, punches, or drills.
  10. 10. Determine project requirements, such as scope, assembly sequences, or required methods or materials, using blueprints, drawings, or written or verbal instructions.

Key Skills Required

  • Reading Comprehension
  • Critical Thinking
  • Monitoring
  • Coordination
  • Active Listening
  • Speaking
  • Mathematics
  • Judgment and Decision Making
  • Time Management
  • Active Learning

Knowledge Areas

  • Mechanical
  • Building and Construction
  • Mathematics
  • Design
  • English Language
  • Administration and Management
  • Education and Training
  • Production and Processing
  • Engineering and Technology
  • Computers and Electronics

Frequently Asked Questions

Will AI replace Sheet metal workers?

Sheet metal workers has an AI exposure score of 23%, indicating a medium level of automation risk. The majority of tasks in this role require human judgment, creativity, or physical presence that AI cannot easily replicate.

What is the job outlook for Sheet metal workers?

According to BLS Employment Projections 2024-2034, Sheet metal workers is projected to grow by 2.4% over the decade. Current employment stands at approximately 127,000 workers.

What skills are needed for Sheet metal workers?

Key skills for Sheet metal workers include Reading Comprehension, Critical Thinking, Monitoring, and others. Typical entry-level education is High school diploma or equivalent.

How much do Sheet metal workers earn?

The median annual wage for Sheet metal workers is $60,850, according to BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics (May 2024). Actual earnings vary by location, experience, industry, and employer. The BLS publishes detailed wage percentiles by region in its Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics program.

What education is required for Sheet metal workers?

The typical entry-level education for Sheet metal workers is High school diploma or equivalent. Employers generally expect None of related work experience. On-the-job training typically involves Apprenticeship. Requirements can vary by employer and specialization.

Which companies employ Sheet metal workers?

Sheet metal workers roles exist across many industries and employers. Workforce composition is estimated from BLS industry-occupation employment distributions matched to SEC-registered public companies.

AI Exposure Rating

1.1
out of 5.0

Medium automation risk based on 10 analyzed tasks. Most tasks require human judgment and are resistant to automation.

Nationwide occupations with similar workforce profiles

Two data-derived peer sets for Sheet metal workers: AI-exposure neighbors and BLS 2034 growth neighbors (distinct comparison neighborhoods, cross-occupation).

Similar AI exposure score

Nearest O*NET task-automability scores nationwide (23% here).

Similar projected growth (2024–2034)

Nearest BLS employment change rates nationwide (+2.4% here).

Peers are nearest-neighbor matches on published BLS + O*NET metrics among occupations with ≥10,000 workers in 2024; corpus ranks above sort the full tracked set.

What to do with this

Use Sheet metal workers' numbers above to compare, not just read in isolation.

AI exposure scores estimate task automatability from O*NET data; they are not a certainty of job loss, and BLS growth projections are estimates, not guarantees.

Data sources: Bureau of Labor Statistics Employment Projections 2024–2034 and O*NET Database 30.0. Employment figures are rounded. Wage data from BLS Occupational Employment Statistics (OES).

Every figure on PlainWorkforce is rendered directly from BLS/O*NET source data, no number is typed in by an editor. See our editorial standards & corrections policy, the methodology behind these figures, or report a data error. Data current as of BLS Employment Projections 2024-2034.

Sources: BLS Employment Projections 2024-2034, O*NET Database 30.0.