Medium AI Risk Average

Arbitrators, mediators, and conciliators

SOC Code: 23-1022

Arbitrators, mediators, and conciliators carries a 35% AI exposure score (Medium automation risk), with a median annual wage of $67,710 and +4.3% projected employment growth from 2024 to 2034 (BLS), affecting approximately 9,100 workers. Full task breakdown, skills, and employer data are below.

AI Exposure Score
35% Medium
Typical exposure

Proportion of tasks susceptible to AI automation (O*NET analysis)

Projected Growth
+4.3%
Typical growth
2024–2034 (BLS)
+400 jobs
Median Annual Wage
$67,710
Typical pay
BLS May 2024
How wage figures are sourced →
The verdict

At 35% AI exposure, Arbitrators, mediators, and conciliators sits 2 points below the 37.2% average across 832 U.S. occupations - more exposed than 46% of them. Most of its core tasks still require human judgment.

35%
AI exposure
46th
percentile
+4.3%
Job growth 2024–34
$67,710
Median wage
C+

Career outlook score

63/100

Arbitrators, mediators, and conciliators, weighted across 3 of 3 tracked dimensions

A weighted composite of median wage, projected growth, and AI-automation security (inverted exposure), each benchmarked against every other tracked occupation. It describes this occupation's standing across those three dimensions, not a guarantee of future outcomes.

  • Median wage B- $67,710

    Annual median wage, percentile rank vs all tracked occupations

  • Projected growth B +4.3%

    Projected employment change, 2024-2034, BLS Employment Projections

  • AI exposure (inverted) C- 35% exposure

    Lower O*NET task-automability scores lower risk; this dimension scores security, not exposure

Employment vs AI exposure

Home health and personal care aides is #1 of 832 occupations by employment (4.3M, AI exposure rank #392 at 35%) vs. Bookkeeping, accounting, and auditing clerks #1 by AI task exposure (95%, employment rank #17 at 1.6M).

4.3M
Home health and personal care aides employment (#1)
#392
Home health and personal care aides AI rank
95%
Bookkeeping, accounting, and auditing clerks AI exposure (#1)
#17
Bookkeeping, accounting, and auditing clerks employment rank

Automation-risk inventory

Exclusive cut of 832 occupations by PlainWorkforce automation-risk band. Orthogonal to the continuous AI-exposure distribution chart below and to this occupation's single risk badge, this is the corpus band mix, with Arbitrators, mediators, and conciliators in the Medium band.

Credential × growth standing

Bachelor's band with mid-pack BLS pace

Arbitrators, mediators, and conciliators shares the Bachelor's gate with 178 peer occupations and lands in Average (378 of 832). Neither the rarest nor the most crowded growth shelf - use wage and AI desks on this page for the differentiator.

Where Arbitrators, mediators, and conciliators sits among all occupations

AI-exposure score distribution across 832 U.S. occupations (O*NET task analysis). This occupation is marked in rose.

Where Arbitrators, mediators, and conciliators sits by AI exposure

AI-exposure score distribution across U.S. occupations (O*NET task analysis)

35% Lower than most lower than 54% of 832 occupations

Occupations, banded by AI-exposure score

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more occupations. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count and share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source O*NET task data (U.S. Department of Labor) · BLS 2024–2034

Source: O*NET task data (U.S. Department of Labor); AI-exposure scores are PlainWorkforce's analysis. As of BLS 2024–2034.

Arbitrators, mediators, and conciliators vs. its occupational neighbors

AI exposure (horizontal) vs projected 2024–2034 growth (vertical) for occupations in the same SOC group. Arbitrators, mediators, and conciliators is marked in rose; the top-left corner is the most future-proof.

Future-proofGrowing but exposedStable, lower-AIMost at risk33.5%41.8%50%58.3%66.5%-1.5%0.0%1.6%3.1%4.6%AI exposure (%) →Projected growth (%) →Lawyers, AI exposure (%) →: 45% · Projected growth (%) →: 4.1%LawyersParalegals, AI exposure (%) →: 41% · Projected growth (%) →: 0.2%ParalegalsTitle examiners, AI exposure (%) →: 65% · Projected growth (%) →: 2%Title examinersLegal support worker, AI exposure (%) →: 35% · Projected growth (%) →: -1.2%Legal support workerJudges, AI exposure (%) →: 37% · Projected growth (%) →: 2.5%JudgesAdministrative law j, AI exposure (%) →: 42% · Projected growth (%) →: -0.7%Administrative law jJudicial law clerks, AI exposure (%) →: 54% · Projected growth (%) →: 2.5%Judicial law clerksArbitrators, AI exposure (%) →: 35% · Projected growth (%) →: 4.3%Arbitrators

Source: BLS Employment Projections 2024–2034 (growth) and O*NET (AI-exposure analysis by PlainWorkforce).

Employment Projections

9,100
Employment 2024
9,500
Projected 2034
+4.3%
Change (%)
+400
Change (jobs)

Where This Score Comes From

Arbitrators, mediators, and conciliators's Medium automation-risk tier is computed from O*NET Database 30.0 task-level analysis, where each documented task the occupation performs is evaluated against current generative AI, robotic process automation, and machine-learning capabilities. A score below 40% reflects tasks anchored in physical dexterity, unstructured environments, or high-touch human interaction that current AI cannot reliably replicate.

The employment, wage, and education figures above come from a second, separate federal source: BLS Employment Projections 2024–2034, matched to the O*NET task data by Standard Occupational Classification (SOC 23-1022) code, with the wage figure cross-validated against the BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics (OEWS) May 2024 survey. BLS figures are presented exactly as published, with no adjustment on our part; the SOC-code match is what lets Arbitrators, mediators, and conciliators be compared directly against every other tracked occupation on the same basis, not just roles that happen to share a job title.

For career planners, this profile should be read alongside the task, skill, and knowledge breakdowns below and the list of employers whose workforce composition includes Arbitrators, mediators, and conciliators. Adjacent occupations shown further down offer lateral moves that preserve industry knowledge while potentially reducing exposure.

Education & Entry Requirements

Typical Education
Bachelor's degree
Work Experience
Less than 5 years
On-the-Job Training
Moderate-term on-the-job training

Top Tasks (O*NET)

  1. 1. Prepare written opinions or decisions regarding cases.
  2. 2. Apply relevant laws, regulations, policies, or precedents to reach conclusions.
  3. 3. Conduct hearings to obtain information or evidence relative to disposition of claims.
  4. 4. Determine extent of liability according to evidence, laws, or administrative or judicial precedents.
  5. 5. Rule on exceptions, motions, or admissibility of evidence.
  6. 6. Confer with disputants to clarify issues, identify underlying concerns, and develop an understanding of their respective needs and interests.
  7. 7. Use mediation techniques to facilitate communication between disputants, to further parties' understanding of different perspectives, and to guide parties toward mutual agreement.
  8. 8. Conduct initial meetings with disputants to outline the arbitration process, settle procedural matters, such as fees, or determine details, such as witness numbers or time requirements.
  9. 9. Evaluate information from documents, such as claim applications, birth or death certificates, or physician or employer records.
  10. 10. Research laws, regulations, policies, or precedent decisions to prepare for hearings.

Key Skills Required

  • Negotiation
  • Active Listening
  • Writing
  • Reading Comprehension
  • Speaking
  • Critical Thinking
  • Active Learning
  • Social Perceptiveness
  • Persuasion
  • Complex Problem Solving

Knowledge Areas

  • English Language
  • Law and Government
  • Personnel and Human Resources
  • Administration and Management
  • Education and Training
  • Economics and Accounting
  • Computers and Electronics
  • Psychology
  • Public Safety and Security
  • Customer and Personal Service

Frequently Asked Questions

Will AI replace Arbitrators, mediators, and conciliators?

Arbitrators, mediators, and conciliators has an AI exposure score of 35%, indicating a medium level of automation risk. The majority of tasks in this role require human judgment, creativity, or physical presence that AI cannot easily replicate.

What is the job outlook for Arbitrators, mediators, and conciliators?

According to BLS Employment Projections 2024-2034, Arbitrators, mediators, and conciliators is projected to grow by 4.3% over the decade. Current employment stands at approximately 9,100 workers.

What skills are needed for Arbitrators, mediators, and conciliators?

Key skills for Arbitrators, mediators, and conciliators include Negotiation, Active Listening, Writing, and others. Typical entry-level education is Bachelor's degree.

How much do Arbitrators, mediators, and conciliators earn?

The median annual wage for Arbitrators, mediators, and conciliators is $67,710, according to BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics (May 2024). Actual earnings vary by location, experience, industry, and employer. The BLS publishes detailed wage percentiles by region in its Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics program.

What education is required for Arbitrators, mediators, and conciliators?

The typical entry-level education for Arbitrators, mediators, and conciliators is Bachelor's degree. Employers generally expect Less than 5 years of related work experience. On-the-job training typically involves Moderate-term on-the-job training. Requirements can vary by employer and specialization.

Which companies employ Arbitrators, mediators, and conciliators?

Arbitrators, mediators, and conciliators roles exist across many industries and employers. Workforce composition is estimated from BLS industry-occupation employment distributions matched to SEC-registered public companies.

AI Exposure Rating

1.8
out of 5.0

Medium automation risk based on 10 analyzed tasks. Most tasks require human judgment and are resistant to automation.

Nationwide occupations with similar workforce profiles

Two data-derived peer sets for Arbitrators, mediators, and conciliators: AI-exposure neighbors and BLS 2034 growth neighbors (distinct comparison neighborhoods, cross-occupation).

Similar AI exposure score

Nearest O*NET task-automability scores nationwide (35% here).

Similar projected growth (2024–2034)

Nearest BLS employment change rates nationwide (+4.3% here).

Peers are nearest-neighbor matches on published BLS + O*NET metrics among occupations with ≥10,000 workers in 2024; corpus ranks above sort the full tracked set.

What to do with this

Use Arbitrators, mediators, and conciliators' numbers above to compare, not just read in isolation.

AI exposure scores estimate task automatability from O*NET data; they are not a certainty of job loss, and BLS growth projections are estimates, not guarantees.

Data sources: Bureau of Labor Statistics Employment Projections 2024–2034 and O*NET Database 30.0. Employment figures are rounded. Wage data from BLS Occupational Employment Statistics (OES).

Every figure on PlainWorkforce is rendered directly from BLS/O*NET source data, no number is typed in by an editor. See our editorial standards & corrections policy, the methodology behind these figures, or report a data error. Data current as of BLS Employment Projections 2024-2034.

Sources: BLS Employment Projections 2024-2034, O*NET Database 30.0.