Medium AI Risk Average

First-line supervisors of landscaping, lawn service, and groundskeeping workers

SOC Code: 37-1012

First-line supervisors of landscaping, lawn service, and groundskeeping workers carries a 29% AI exposure score (Medium automation risk), with a median annual wage of $56,170 and +2.3% projected employment growth from 2024 to 2034 (BLS), affecting approximately 224,700 workers. Full task breakdown, skills, and employer data are below.

AI Exposure Score
29% Medium

Proportion of tasks susceptible to AI automation (O*NET analysis)

Projected Growth
+2.3%
2024–2034 (BLS)
+5,200 jobs
Median Annual Wage
$56,170
BLS May 2024
How wage figures are sourced →
The verdict

At 29% AI exposure, First-line supervisors of landscaping, lawn service, and groundskeeping workers sits 8 points below the 37.2% average across 832 U.S. occupations - more exposed than 27% of them. Most of its core tasks still require human judgment.

29%
AI exposure
27th
percentile
+2.3%
Job growth 2024–34
$56,170
Median wage

Where First-line supervisors of landscaping, lawn service, and groundskeeping workers sits among all occupations

AI-exposure score distribution across 832 U.S. occupations (O*NET task analysis). This occupation is marked in rose.

AI exposure distribution - First-line supervisors of landscaping, lawn service, and groundskeeping workers marked 1 occupations at 0–10% 1 0 43 occupations at 10–20% 43 10 184 occupations at 20–30% 184 20 332 occupations at 30–40% 332 30 158 occupations at 40–50% 158 40 64 occupations at 50–60% 64 50 29 occupations at 60–70% 29 60 15 occupations at 70–80% 15 70 5 occupations at 80–90% 5 80 1 occupations at 90–100% 1 90 AI exposure (%) →
Top 73% by AI exposure Higher AI exposure than 27% of all 832 occupations.

First-line supervisors of landscaping, lawn service, and groundskeeping workers has ai exposure of 29%. Distribution: 1 occupations at 0-10%; 43 occupations at 10-20%; 184 occupations at 20-30%; 332 occupations at 30-40%; 158 occupations at 40-50%; 64 occupations at 50-60%; 29 occupations at 60-70%; 15 occupations at 70-80%; 5 occupations at 80-90%; 1 occupations at 90-100%.

Source: O*NET task data (U.S. Department of Labor); AI-exposure scores are PlainWorkforce's analysis. As of BLS 2024–2034.

First-line supervisors of landscaping, lawn service, and groundskeeping workers vs. its occupational neighbors

AI exposure (horizontal) vs projected 2024–2034 growth (vertical) for occupations in the same SOC group. First-line supervisors of landscaping, lawn service, and groundskeeping workers is marked in rose; the top-left corner is the most future-proof.

Future-proofGrowing but exposedStable, lower-AIMost at risk12.5%20.8%29%37.3%45.5%0%1.3%2.6%3.9%5.1%AI exposure (%) →Projected growth (%) →JanitorsMaidsLandscapingFirst-line supervisoFirst-line supervisoPest control workersTree trimmersPesticide handlersBuilding cleaning woGrounds maintenance

Source: BLS Employment Projections 2024–2034 (growth) and O*NET (AI-exposure analysis by PlainWorkforce).

Employment Projections

224,700
Employment 2024
230,000
Projected 2034
+2.3%
Change (%)
+5,200
Change (jobs)

Occupation Insight

First-line supervisors of landscaping, lawn service, and groundskeeping workers (SOC 37-1012) carries an AI exposure score of 29%, placing it in the Medium automation-risk tier. This score is computed from O*NET Database 30.0 task-level analysis, where each task an occupation performs is evaluated against current generative AI, robotic process automation, and machine-learning capabilities. A score below 40% reflects tasks anchored in physical dexterity, unstructured environments, or high-touch human interaction that current AI cannot reliably replicate.

The economic context matters alongside the risk score. BLS counted approximately 224,700 workers in this occupation in 2024, and projects a +2.3% change through 2034 - modest growth that keeps the occupation viable even as tasks evolve. Median annual compensation stands at $56,170, reflecting both skill scarcity and the value employers place on the tasks that remain difficult to automate. Entry typically requires High school diploma or equivalent, plus Less than 5 years of related experience.

For career planners, this profile should be read alongside the task, skill, and knowledge breakdowns below and the list of employers whose workforce composition includes First-line supervisors of landscaping, lawn service, and groundskeeping workers. Public companies with meaningful exposure to this occupation, such as Jones Lang Lasalle Inc and Welltower Inc., inherit a share of the same automation risk through their industry classification. Adjacent occupations shown further down offer lateral moves that preserve industry knowledge while potentially reducing exposure. Pair the AI exposure score with the BLS employment projection and wage percentiles above for a complete career assessment.

Education & Entry Requirements

Typical Education
High school diploma or equivalent
Work Experience
Less than 5 years
On-the-Job Training
None

Top Tasks (O*NET)

  1. 1. Establish and enforce operating procedures and work standards that will ensure adequate performance and personnel safety.
  2. 2. Schedule work for crews, depending on work priorities, crew or equipment availability, or weather conditions.
  3. 3. Tour grounds, such as parks, botanical gardens, cemeteries, or golf courses, to inspect conditions of plants and soil.
  4. 4. Monitor project activities to ensure that instructions are followed, deadlines are met, and schedules are maintained.
  5. 5. Direct activities of workers who perform duties, such as landscaping, cultivating lawns, or pruning trees and shrubs.
  6. 6. Inspect completed work to ensure conformance to specifications, standards, and contract requirements.
  7. 7. Plant or maintain vegetation through activities such as mulching, fertilizing, watering, mowing, or pruning.
  8. 8. Negotiate with customers regarding fees for landscaping, lawn service, or groundskeeping work.
  9. 9. Direct or perform mixing or application of fertilizers, insecticides, herbicides, or fungicides.
  10. 10. Train workers in tasks such as transplanting or pruning trees or shrubs, finishing cement, using equipment, or caring for turf.

Key Skills Required

  • Monitoring
  • Time Management
  • Active Listening
  • Management of Personnel Resources
  • Speaking
  • Critical Thinking
  • Coordination
  • Social Perceptiveness
  • Instructing
  • Judgment and Decision Making

Knowledge Areas

  • Customer and Personal Service
  • English Language
  • Administration and Management
  • Mathematics
  • Public Safety and Security
  • Personnel and Human Resources
  • Mechanical
  • Education and Training
  • Chemistry
  • Building and Construction

Frequently Asked Questions

Will AI replace First-line supervisors of landscaping, lawn service, and groundskeeping workers?

First-line supervisors of landscaping, lawn service, and groundskeeping workers has an AI exposure score of 29%, indicating a medium level of automation risk. The majority of tasks in this role require human judgment, creativity, or physical presence that AI cannot easily replicate.

What is the job outlook for First-line supervisors of landscaping, lawn service, and groundskeeping workers?

According to BLS Employment Projections 2024-2034, First-line supervisors of landscaping, lawn service, and groundskeeping workers is projected to grow by 2.3% over the decade. Current employment stands at approximately 224,700 workers.

What skills are needed for First-line supervisors of landscaping, lawn service, and groundskeeping workers?

Key skills for First-line supervisors of landscaping, lawn service, and groundskeeping workers include Monitoring, Time Management, Active Listening, and others. Typical entry-level education is High school diploma or equivalent.

How much do First-line supervisors of landscaping, lawn service, and groundskeeping workers earn?

The median annual wage for First-line supervisors of landscaping, lawn service, and groundskeeping workers is $56,170, according to BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics (May 2024). Actual earnings vary by location, experience, industry, and employer. The BLS publishes detailed wage percentiles by region in its Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics program.

What education is required for First-line supervisors of landscaping, lawn service, and groundskeeping workers?

The typical entry-level education for First-line supervisors of landscaping, lawn service, and groundskeeping workers is High school diploma or equivalent. Employers generally expect Less than 5 years of related work experience. On-the-job training typically involves None. Requirements can vary by employer and specialization.

Which companies employ First-line supervisors of landscaping, lawn service, and groundskeeping workers?

Public companies with significant First-line supervisors of landscaping, lawn service, and groundskeeping workers workforce shares include Jones Lang Lasalle Inc, Welltower Inc., Prologis, Inc., among others. These employers are mapped by industry classification (SIC/NAICS) to BLS occupation-industry employment distributions. See the full employer rankings for AI displacement risk grades.

Employers with High AI Exposure in This Occupation Group

Public companies whose industry occupation mix includes a significant share of First-line supervisors of landscaping, lawn service, and groundskeeping workers roles.

Company AI Grade Risk Score
Jones Lang Lasalle Inc C 45.1%
Welltower Inc. C 45.1%
Prologis, Inc. C 45.1%
Equinix Inc C 45.1%
BROOKFIELD Corp /ON/ C 45.1%
American Tower Corp /Ma/ C 45.1%
Digital Realty Trust, Inc. C 45.1%
Simon Property Group Inc. C 45.1%

AI Exposure Rating

1.4
out of 5.0

Medium automation risk based on 10 analyzed tasks. Most tasks require human judgment and are resistant to automation.

Data sources: Bureau of Labor Statistics Employment Projections 2024–2034 and O*NET Database 30.0. Employment figures are rounded. Wage data from BLS Occupational Employment Statistics (OES).

Data sourced from official public datasets. See our methodology for details. Retrieved and formatted by PlainWorkforce Editorial

Every figure on PlainWorkforce is rendered directly from BLS/O*NET source data, no number is typed in by an editor. See our editorial standards & corrections policy, the methodology behind these figures, or report a data error. Data current as of BLS Employment Projections 2024-2034.