Medium AI Risk Average

First-line supervisors of landscaping, lawn service, and groundskeeping workers

SOC Code: 37-1012

First-line supervisors of landscaping, lawn service, and groundskeeping workers carries a 29% AI exposure score (Medium automation risk), with a median annual wage of $56,170 and +2.3% projected employment growth from 2024 to 2034 (BLS), affecting approximately 224,700 workers. Full task breakdown, skills, and employer data are below.

AI Exposure Score
29% Medium

Proportion of tasks susceptible to AI automation (O*NET analysis)

Projected Growth
+2.3%
2024–2034 (BLS)
+5,200 jobs
Median Annual Wage
$56,170
BLS May 2024
How wage figures are sourced →

AI Exposure vs Industry Growth

Workforce demand by occupation Sanctioned bespoke signature viz (@signature-viz, KIZ-799) showing occupation-level workforce demand from BLS OEWS data. Pure SVG, no external dependencies.Projected Growth 2024-2034 (BLS)Technology+12.8%Healthcare+10.2%Professional+7.8%Education+5.8%Construction+4.5%Finance+4.6%Logistics+3.2%Government+1.2%Manufacturing-2.1%Retail-3.4%
National AI Exposure
40%
Average across all occupations
Avg Wage Growth
+3.2%
Median annual wage change
High-Risk Roles
127
Occupations with >70% AI exposure

Total occupations tracked

832

Covering all SOC major groups

Data currency

2024

BLS Employment Projections

AI exposure avg

40%

Fleet-wide median across all roles

Methodology confidence 92.0%
Industry standard

Composite score weighing O*NET task data completeness, BLS projection methodology, and cross-validation with employer risk grades.

Employment Projections

224,700
Employment 2024
230,000
Projected 2034
+2.3%
Change (%)
+5,200
Change (jobs)

Occupation Insight

First-line supervisors of landscaping, lawn service, and groundskeeping workers (SOC 37-1012) carries an AI exposure score of 29%, placing it in the Medium automation-risk tier. This score is computed from O*NET Database 30.0 task-level analysis, where each task an occupation performs is evaluated against current generative AI, robotic process automation, and machine-learning capabilities. A score below 40% reflects tasks anchored in physical dexterity, unstructured environments, or high-touch human interaction that current AI cannot reliably replicate.

The economic context matters alongside the risk score. BLS counted approximately 224,700 workers in this occupation in 2024, and projects a +2.3% change through 2034 — modest growth that keeps the occupation viable even as tasks evolve. Median annual compensation stands at $56,170, reflecting both skill scarcity and the value employers place on the tasks that remain difficult to automate. Entry typically requires High school diploma or equivalent, plus Less than 5 years of related experience.

For career planners, this profile should be read alongside the task, skill, and knowledge breakdowns below and the list of employers whose workforce composition includes First-line supervisors of landscaping, lawn service, and groundskeeping workers. Public companies with meaningful exposure to this occupation, such as JONES LANG LASALLE INC and WELLTOWER INC., inherit a share of the same automation risk through their industry classification. Adjacent occupations shown further down offer lateral moves that preserve industry knowledge while potentially reducing exposure. Pair the AI exposure score with the BLS employment projection and wage percentiles above for a complete career assessment.

Education & Entry Requirements

Typical Education
High school diploma or equivalent
Work Experience
Less than 5 years
On-the-Job Training
None

Top Tasks (O*NET)

  1. 1. Establish and enforce operating procedures and work standards that will ensure adequate performance and personnel safety.
  2. 2. Schedule work for crews, depending on work priorities, crew or equipment availability, or weather conditions.
  3. 3. Tour grounds, such as parks, botanical gardens, cemeteries, or golf courses, to inspect conditions of plants and soil.
  4. 4. Monitor project activities to ensure that instructions are followed, deadlines are met, and schedules are maintained.
  5. 5. Direct activities of workers who perform duties, such as landscaping, cultivating lawns, or pruning trees and shrubs.
  6. 6. Inspect completed work to ensure conformance to specifications, standards, and contract requirements.
  7. 7. Plant or maintain vegetation through activities such as mulching, fertilizing, watering, mowing, or pruning.
  8. 8. Negotiate with customers regarding fees for landscaping, lawn service, or groundskeeping work.
  9. 9. Direct or perform mixing or application of fertilizers, insecticides, herbicides, or fungicides.
  10. 10. Train workers in tasks such as transplanting or pruning trees or shrubs, finishing cement, using equipment, or caring for turf.

Key Skills Required

  • Monitoring
  • Time Management
  • Active Listening
  • Management of Personnel Resources
  • Speaking
  • Critical Thinking
  • Coordination
  • Social Perceptiveness
  • Instructing
  • Judgment and Decision Making

Knowledge Areas

  • Customer and Personal Service
  • English Language
  • Administration and Management
  • Mathematics
  • Public Safety and Security
  • Personnel and Human Resources
  • Mechanical
  • Education and Training
  • Chemistry
  • Building and Construction

Frequently Asked Questions

Will AI replace First-line supervisors of landscaping, lawn service, and groundskeeping workers?

First-line supervisors of landscaping, lawn service, and groundskeeping workers has an AI exposure score of 29%, indicating a medium level of automation risk. The majority of tasks in this role require human judgment, creativity, or physical presence that AI cannot easily replicate.

What is the job outlook for First-line supervisors of landscaping, lawn service, and groundskeeping workers?

According to BLS Employment Projections 2024-2034, First-line supervisors of landscaping, lawn service, and groundskeeping workers is projected to grow by 2.3% over the decade. Current employment stands at approximately 224,700 workers.

What skills are needed for First-line supervisors of landscaping, lawn service, and groundskeeping workers?

Key skills for First-line supervisors of landscaping, lawn service, and groundskeeping workers include Monitoring, Time Management, Active Listening, and others. Typical entry-level education is High school diploma or equivalent.

How much do First-line supervisors of landscaping, lawn service, and groundskeeping workers earn?

The median annual wage for First-line supervisors of landscaping, lawn service, and groundskeeping workers is $56,170, according to BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics (May 2024). Actual earnings vary by location, experience, industry, and employer. The BLS publishes detailed wage percentiles by region in its Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics program.

What education is required for First-line supervisors of landscaping, lawn service, and groundskeeping workers?

The typical entry-level education for First-line supervisors of landscaping, lawn service, and groundskeeping workers is High school diploma or equivalent. Employers generally expect Less than 5 years of related work experience. On-the-job training typically involves None. Requirements can vary by employer and specialization.

Which companies employ First-line supervisors of landscaping, lawn service, and groundskeeping workers?

Public companies with significant First-line supervisors of landscaping, lawn service, and groundskeeping workers workforce shares include JONES LANG LASALLE INC, WELLTOWER INC., Prologis, Inc., among others. These employers are mapped by industry classification (SIC/NAICS) to BLS occupation-industry employment distributions. See the full employer rankings for AI displacement risk grades.

Employers with High AI Exposure in This Occupation Group

Public companies whose industry occupation mix includes a significant share of First-line supervisors of landscaping, lawn service, and groundskeeping workers roles.

Company AI Grade Risk Score
JONES LANG LASALLE INC C 45.1%
WELLTOWER INC. C 45.1%
Prologis, Inc. C 45.1%
EQUINIX INC C 45.1%
BROOKFIELD Corp /ON/ C 45.1%
AMERICAN TOWER CORP /MA/ C 45.1%
DIGITAL REALTY TRUST, INC. C 45.1%
SIMON PROPERTY GROUP INC. C 45.1%

AI Exposure Rating

1.4
out of 5.0

Medium automation risk based on 10 analyzed tasks. Most tasks require human judgment and are resistant to automation.

Data sources: Bureau of Labor Statistics Employment Projections 2024–2034 and O*NET Database 30.0. Employment figures are rounded. Wage data from BLS Occupational Employment Statistics (OES).

Related

Data sourced from official public datasets. See our methodology for details. Retrieved and formatted by PlainWorkforce Editorial