Medium AI Risk Slow Growth

Log graders and scalers

SOC Code: 45-4023

Log graders and scalers carries a 38% AI exposure score (Medium automation risk), with a median annual wage of $46,710 and -0.7% projected employment growth from 2024 to 2034 (BLS), affecting approximately 4,600 workers. Full task breakdown, skills, and employer data are below.

AI Exposure Score
38% Medium
Typical exposure

Proportion of tasks susceptible to AI automation (O*NET analysis)

Projected Growth
-0.7%
Typical growth
2024–2034 (BLS)
+0 jobs
Median Annual Wage
$46,710
Typical pay
BLS May 2024
How wage figures are sourced →
The verdict

At 38% AI exposure, Log graders and scalers sits 1 points above the 37.2% average across 832 U.S. occupations - more exposed than 63% of them. Most of its core tasks still require human judgment.

38%
AI exposure
Top 37%
most exposed
-0.7%
Job growth 2024–34
$46,710
Median wage
F

Career outlook score

30/100

Log graders and scalers, weighted across 3 of 3 tracked dimensions

A weighted composite of median wage, projected growth, and AI-automation security (inverted exposure), each benchmarked against every other tracked occupation. It describes this occupation's standing across those three dimensions, not a guarantee of future outcomes.

  • Median wage F $46,710

    Annual median wage, percentile rank vs all tracked occupations

  • Projected growth F -0.7%

    Projected employment change, 2024-2034, BLS Employment Projections

  • AI exposure (inverted) F 38% exposure

    Lower O*NET task-automability scores lower risk; this dimension scores security, not exposure

Employment vs AI exposure

Home health and personal care aides is #1 of 832 occupations by employment (4.3M, AI exposure rank #392 at 35%) vs. Bookkeeping, accounting, and auditing clerks #1 by AI task exposure (95%, employment rank #17 at 1.6M).

4.3M
Home health and personal care aides employment (#1)
#392
Home health and personal care aides AI rank
95%
Bookkeeping, accounting, and auditing clerks AI exposure (#1)
#17
Bookkeeping, accounting, and auditing clerks employment rank

Automation-risk inventory

Exclusive cut of 832 occupations by PlainWorkforce automation-risk band. Orthogonal to the continuous AI-exposure distribution chart below and to this occupation's single risk badge, this is the corpus band mix, with Log graders and scalers in the Medium band.

Credential × growth standing

Open entry with non-declining BLS pace

Log graders and scalers keeps an HS / some college bar (333 of 832) and sits in Slow growth (245 of 832). Lower formal gates with a non-shrinking employment line - skill and AI desks matter more than credentials here.

Where Log graders and scalers sits among all occupations

AI-exposure score distribution across 832 U.S. occupations (O*NET task analysis). This occupation is marked in rose.

Where Log graders and scalers sits by AI exposure

AI-exposure score distribution across U.S. occupations (O*NET task analysis)

38% Around the middle lower than 37% of 832 occupations

Occupations, banded by AI-exposure score

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more occupations. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count and share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source O*NET task data (U.S. Department of Labor) · BLS 2024–2034

Source: O*NET task data (U.S. Department of Labor); AI-exposure scores are PlainWorkforce's analysis. As of BLS 2024–2034.

Log graders and scalers vs. its occupational neighbors

AI exposure (horizontal) vs projected 2024–2034 growth (vertical) for occupations in the same SOC group. Log graders and scalers is marked in rose; the top-left corner is the most future-proof.

Future-proofGrowing but exposedStable, lower-AIMost at risk14.9%21.0%27%33.1%39.1%-6.1%-2.5%1.1%4.8%8.4%AI exposure (%) →Projected growth (%) →Log graders, AI exposure (%) →: 38% · Projected growth (%) →: -0.7%Log gradersFarmworkers, AI exposure (%) →: 16% · Projected growth (%) →: -3.3%FarmworkersFarmworkers, AI exposure (%) →: 19% · Projected growth (%) →: -5%FarmworkersFirst-line superviso, AI exposure (%) →: 32% · Projected growth (%) →: 2.5%First-line supervisoAgricultural equipme, AI exposure (%) →: 16% · Projected growth (%) →: 7.7%Agricultural equipmeGraders, AI exposure (%) →: 37% · Projected growth (%) →: -5.4%GradersLogging equipment op, AI exposure (%) →: 22% · Projected growth (%) →: -1.4%Logging equipment opFishing, AI exposure (%) →: 30% · Projected growth (%) →: -4.6%FishingAgricultural inspect, AI exposure (%) →: 28% · Projected growth (%) →: 1.5%Agricultural inspectForest, AI exposure (%) →: 29% · Projected growth (%) →: -4.7%ForestAgricultural workers, AI exposure (%) →: 35% · Projected growth (%) →: 2.3%Agricultural workersAnimal breeders, AI exposure (%) →: 32% · Projected growth (%) →: 2.4%Animal breeders

Source: BLS Employment Projections 2024–2034 (growth) and O*NET (AI-exposure analysis by PlainWorkforce).

Employment Projections

4,600
Employment 2024
4,600
Projected 2034
-0.7%
Change (%)
+0
Change (jobs)

Where This Score Comes From

Log graders and scalers's Medium automation-risk tier is computed from O*NET Database 30.0 task-level analysis, where each documented task the occupation performs is evaluated against current generative AI, robotic process automation, and machine-learning capabilities. A score below 40% reflects tasks anchored in physical dexterity, unstructured environments, or high-touch human interaction that current AI cannot reliably replicate.

The employment, wage, and education figures above come from a second, separate federal source: BLS Employment Projections 2024–2034, matched to the O*NET task data by Standard Occupational Classification (SOC 45-4023) code, with the wage figure cross-validated against the BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics (OEWS) May 2024 survey. BLS figures are presented exactly as published, with no adjustment on our part; the SOC-code match is what lets Log graders and scalers be compared directly against every other tracked occupation on the same basis, not just roles that happen to share a job title.

For career planners, this profile should be read alongside the task, skill, and knowledge breakdowns below and the list of employers whose workforce composition includes Log graders and scalers. Adjacent occupations shown further down offer lateral moves that preserve industry knowledge while potentially reducing exposure.

Education & Entry Requirements

Typical Education
High school diploma or equivalent
Work Experience
None
On-the-Job Training
Moderate-term on-the-job training

Top Tasks (O*NET)

  1. 1. Evaluate log characteristics and determine grades, using established criteria.
  2. 2. Record data about individual trees or load volumes into tally books or hand-held collection terminals.
  3. 3. Measure felled logs or loads of pulpwood to calculate volume, weight, dimensions, and marketable value, using measuring devices and conversion tables.
  4. 4. Paint identification marks of specified colors on logs to identify grades or species, using spray cans, or call out grades to log markers.
  5. 5. Jab logs with metal ends of scale sticks, and inspect logs to ascertain characteristics or defects such as water damage, splits, knots, broken ends, rotten areas, twists, and curves.
  6. 6. Identify logs of substandard or special grade so that they can be returned to shippers, regraded, recut, or transferred for other processing.
  7. 7. Arrange for hauling of logs to appropriate mill sites.
  8. 8. Weigh log trucks before and after unloading, and record load weights and supplier identities.
  9. 9. Measure log lengths and mark boles for bucking into logs, according to specifications.
  10. 10. Communicate with coworkers by signals to direct log movement.

Key Skills Required

  • Active Listening
  • Critical Thinking
  • Speaking
  • Writing
  • Active Learning
  • Monitoring
  • Coordination
  • Judgment and Decision Making
  • Reading Comprehension
  • Complex Problem Solving

Knowledge Areas

  • Production and Processing
  • Mathematics
  • Customer and Personal Service
  • Administration and Management
  • Mechanical
  • Education and Training
  • Transportation
  • English Language
  • Sales and Marketing
  • Computers and Electronics

Frequently Asked Questions

Will AI replace Log graders and scalers?

Log graders and scalers has an AI exposure score of 38%, indicating a medium level of automation risk. The majority of tasks in this role require human judgment, creativity, or physical presence that AI cannot easily replicate.

What is the job outlook for Log graders and scalers?

According to BLS Employment Projections 2024-2034, Log graders and scalers is projected to decline by 0.7% over the decade. Current employment stands at approximately 4,600 workers.

What skills are needed for Log graders and scalers?

Key skills for Log graders and scalers include Active Listening, Critical Thinking, Speaking, and others. Typical entry-level education is High school diploma or equivalent.

How much do Log graders and scalers earn?

The median annual wage for Log graders and scalers is $46,710, according to BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics (May 2024). Actual earnings vary by location, experience, industry, and employer. The BLS publishes detailed wage percentiles by region in its Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics program.

What education is required for Log graders and scalers?

The typical entry-level education for Log graders and scalers is High school diploma or equivalent. Employers generally expect None of related work experience. On-the-job training typically involves Moderate-term on-the-job training. Requirements can vary by employer and specialization.

Which companies employ Log graders and scalers?

Log graders and scalers roles exist across many industries and employers. Workforce composition is estimated from BLS industry-occupation employment distributions matched to SEC-registered public companies.

AI Exposure Rating

1.9
out of 5.0

Medium automation risk based on 10 analyzed tasks. Most tasks require human judgment and are resistant to automation.

Nationwide occupations with similar workforce profiles

Two data-derived peer sets for Log graders and scalers: AI-exposure neighbors and BLS 2034 growth neighbors (distinct comparison neighborhoods, cross-occupation).

Similar AI exposure score

Nearest O*NET task-automability scores nationwide (38% here).

Similar projected growth (2024–2034)

Nearest BLS employment change rates nationwide (-0.7% here).

Peers are nearest-neighbor matches on published BLS + O*NET metrics among occupations with ≥10,000 workers in 2024; corpus ranks above sort the full tracked set.

What to do with this

Use Log graders and scalers' numbers above to compare, not just read in isolation.

AI exposure scores estimate task automatability from O*NET data; they are not a certainty of job loss, and BLS growth projections are estimates, not guarantees.

Data sources: Bureau of Labor Statistics Employment Projections 2024–2034 and O*NET Database 30.0. Employment figures are rounded. Wage data from BLS Occupational Employment Statistics (OES).

Every figure on PlainWorkforce is rendered directly from BLS/O*NET source data, no number is typed in by an editor. See our editorial standards & corrections policy, the methodology behind these figures, or report a data error. Data current as of BLS Employment Projections 2024-2034.

Sources: BLS Employment Projections 2024-2034, O*NET Database 30.0.