Medium AI Risk Slow Growth

Refuse and recyclable material collectors

SOC Code: 53-7081

Refuse and recyclable material collectors carries a 38% AI exposure score (Medium automation risk), with a median annual wage of $48,350 and +0.9% projected employment growth from 2024 to 2034 (BLS), affecting approximately 147,900 workers. Full task breakdown, skills, and employer data are below.

AI Exposure Score
38% Medium

Proportion of tasks susceptible to AI automation (O*NET analysis)

Projected Growth
+0.9%
2024–2034 (BLS)
+1,300 jobs
Median Annual Wage
$48,350
BLS May 2024
How wage figures are sourced →

AI Exposure vs Industry Growth

Workforce demand by occupation Sanctioned bespoke signature viz (@signature-viz, KIZ-799) showing occupation-level workforce demand from BLS OEWS data. Pure SVG, no external dependencies.Projected Growth 2024-2034 (BLS)Technology+12.8%Healthcare+10.2%Professional+7.8%Education+5.8%Construction+4.5%Finance+4.6%Logistics+3.2%Government+1.2%Manufacturing-2.1%Retail-3.4%
National AI Exposure
40%
Average across all occupations
Avg Wage Growth
+3.2%
Median annual wage change
High-Risk Roles
127
Occupations with >70% AI exposure

Total occupations tracked

832

Covering all SOC major groups

Data currency

2024

BLS Employment Projections

AI exposure avg

40%

Fleet-wide median across all roles

Methodology confidence 92.0%
Industry standard

Composite score weighing O*NET task data completeness, BLS projection methodology, and cross-validation with employer risk grades.

Employment Projections

147,900
Employment 2024
149,200
Projected 2034
+0.9%
Change (%)
+1,300
Change (jobs)

Occupation Insight

Refuse and recyclable material collectors (SOC 53-7081) carries an AI exposure score of 38%, placing it in the Medium automation-risk tier. This score is computed from O*NET Database 30.0 task-level analysis, where each task an occupation performs is evaluated against current generative AI, robotic process automation, and machine-learning capabilities. A score below 40% reflects tasks anchored in physical dexterity, unstructured environments, or high-touch human interaction that current AI cannot reliably replicate.

The economic context matters alongside the risk score. BLS counted approximately 147,900 workers in this occupation in 2024, and projects a +0.9% change through 2034 — modest growth that keeps the occupation viable even as tasks evolve. Median annual compensation stands at $48,350, reflecting both skill scarcity and the value employers place on the tasks that remain difficult to automate. Entry typically requires No formal educational credential, plus None of related experience.

For career planners, this profile should be read alongside the task, skill, and knowledge breakdowns below and the list of employers whose workforce composition includes Refuse and recyclable material collectors. Adjacent occupations shown further down offer lateral moves that preserve industry knowledge while potentially reducing exposure. Pair the AI exposure score with the BLS employment projection and wage percentiles above for a complete career assessment.

Education & Entry Requirements

Typical Education
No formal educational credential
Work Experience
None
On-the-Job Training
Short-term on-the-job training

Top Tasks (O*NET)

  1. 1. Inspect trucks prior to beginning routes to ensure safe operating condition.
  2. 2. Drive trucks, following established routes, through residential streets or alleys or through business or industrial areas.
  3. 3. Refuel trucks or add other fluids, such as oil or brake fluid.
  4. 4. Dump refuse or recyclable materials at disposal sites.
  5. 5. Fill out defective equipment reports.
  6. 6. Operate automated or semi-automated hoisting devices that raise refuse bins and dump contents into openings in truck bodies.
  7. 7. Dismount garbage trucks to collect garbage and remount trucks to ride to the next collection point.
  8. 8. Operate equipment that compresses collected refuse.
  9. 9. Communicate with dispatchers concerning delays, unsafe sites, accidents, equipment breakdowns, or other maintenance problems.
  10. 10. Check road or weather conditions to determine how routes will be affected.

Key Skills Required

  • Operations Monitoring
  • Operation and Control
  • Active Listening
  • Speaking
  • Critical Thinking
  • Equipment Maintenance
  • Reading Comprehension
  • Coordination
  • Writing
  • Monitoring

Knowledge Areas

  • Mechanical
  • English Language
  • Transportation
  • Customer and Personal Service
  • Public Safety and Security
  • Administration and Management
  • Telecommunications
  • Computers and Electronics
  • Mathematics
  • Education and Training

Frequently Asked Questions

Will AI replace Refuse and recyclable material collectors?

Refuse and recyclable material collectors has an AI exposure score of 38%, indicating a medium level of automation risk. The majority of tasks in this role require human judgment, creativity, or physical presence that AI cannot easily replicate.

What is the job outlook for Refuse and recyclable material collectors?

According to BLS Employment Projections 2024-2034, Refuse and recyclable material collectors is projected to grow by 0.9% over the decade. Current employment stands at approximately 147,900 workers.

What skills are needed for Refuse and recyclable material collectors?

Key skills for Refuse and recyclable material collectors include Operations Monitoring, Operation and Control, Active Listening, and others. Typical entry-level education is No formal educational credential.

How much do Refuse and recyclable material collectors earn?

The median annual wage for Refuse and recyclable material collectors is $48,350, according to BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics (May 2024). Actual earnings vary by location, experience, industry, and employer. The BLS publishes detailed wage percentiles by region in its Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics program.

What education is required for Refuse and recyclable material collectors?

The typical entry-level education for Refuse and recyclable material collectors is No formal educational credential. Employers generally expect None of related work experience. On-the-job training typically involves Short-term on-the-job training. Requirements can vary by employer and specialization.

Which companies employ Refuse and recyclable material collectors?

Refuse and recyclable material collectors roles exist across many industries and employers. Workforce composition is estimated from BLS industry-occupation employment distributions matched to SEC-registered public companies.

AI Exposure Rating

1.9
out of 5.0

Medium automation risk based on 10 analyzed tasks. Most tasks require human judgment and are resistant to automation.

Data sources: Bureau of Labor Statistics Employment Projections 2024–2034 and O*NET Database 30.0. Employment figures are rounded. Wage data from BLS Occupational Employment Statistics (OES).

Related

Data sourced from official public datasets. See our methodology for details. Retrieved and formatted by PlainWorkforce Editorial