Medium AI Risk Fast Growth

Taxi drivers

SOC Code: 53-3054

Taxi drivers carries a 35% AI exposure score (Medium automation risk), with a median annual wage of $36,220 and +11.1% projected employment growth from 2024 to 2034 (BLS), affecting approximately 204,000 workers. Full task breakdown, skills, and employer data are below.

AI Exposure Score
35% Medium

Proportion of tasks susceptible to AI automation (O*NET analysis)

Projected Growth
+11.1%
2024–2034 (BLS)
+22,600 jobs
Median Annual Wage
$36,220
BLS May 2024
How wage figures are sourced →
The verdict

At 35% AI exposure, Taxi drivers sits 2 points below the 37.2% average across 832 U.S. occupations - more exposed than 46% of them. Most of its core tasks still require human judgment.

35%
AI exposure
46th
percentile
+11.1%
Job growth 2024–34
$36,220
Median wage

Where Taxi drivers sits among all occupations

AI-exposure score distribution across 832 U.S. occupations (O*NET task analysis). This occupation is marked in rose.

AI exposure distribution - Taxi drivers marked 1 occupations at 0–10% 1 0 43 occupations at 10–20% 43 10 184 occupations at 20–30% 184 20 332 occupations at 30–40% 332 30 158 occupations at 40–50% 158 40 64 occupations at 50–60% 64 50 29 occupations at 60–70% 29 60 15 occupations at 70–80% 15 70 5 occupations at 80–90% 5 80 1 occupations at 90–100% 1 90 AI exposure (%) →
Top 54% by AI exposure Higher AI exposure than 46% of all 832 occupations.

Taxi drivers has ai exposure of 35%. Distribution: 1 occupations at 0-10%; 43 occupations at 10-20%; 184 occupations at 20-30%; 332 occupations at 30-40%; 158 occupations at 40-50%; 64 occupations at 50-60%; 29 occupations at 60-70%; 15 occupations at 70-80%; 5 occupations at 80-90%; 1 occupations at 90-100%.

Source: O*NET task data (U.S. Department of Labor); AI-exposure scores are PlainWorkforce's analysis. As of BLS 2024–2034.

Taxi drivers vs. its occupational neighbors

AI exposure (horizontal) vs projected 2024–2034 growth (vertical) for occupations in the same SOC group. Taxi drivers is marked in rose; the top-left corner is the most future-proof.

Future-proofGrowing but exposedStable, lower-AIMost at risk18.9%25.2%31.5%37.8%44.1%-6.2%-1.7%2.8%7.4%11.9%AI exposure (%) →Projected growth (%) →Taxi driversLaborersStockersHeavyLight truck driversIndustrial truckFirst-line supervisoPackersDriver/sales workersCleaners of vehiclesBus driversShuttle drivers

Source: BLS Employment Projections 2024–2034 (growth) and O*NET (AI-exposure analysis by PlainWorkforce).

Employment Projections

204,000
Employment 2024
226,600
Projected 2034
+11.1%
Change (%)
+22,600
Change (jobs)

Occupation Insight

Taxi drivers (SOC 53-3054) carries an AI exposure score of 35%, placing it in the Medium automation-risk tier. This score is computed from O*NET Database 30.0 task-level analysis, where each task an occupation performs is evaluated against current generative AI, robotic process automation, and machine-learning capabilities. A score below 40% reflects tasks anchored in physical dexterity, unstructured environments, or high-touch human interaction that current AI cannot reliably replicate.

The economic context matters alongside the risk score. BLS counted approximately 204,000 workers in this occupation in 2024, and projects a +11.1% change through 2034 - a strong growth outlook that compensates meaningfully for automation risk. Median annual compensation stands at $36,220, reflecting both skill scarcity and the value employers place on the tasks that remain difficult to automate. Entry typically requires No formal educational credential, plus None of related experience.

For career planners, this profile should be read alongside the task, skill, and knowledge breakdowns below and the list of employers whose workforce composition includes Taxi drivers. Adjacent occupations shown further down offer lateral moves that preserve industry knowledge while potentially reducing exposure. Pair the AI exposure score with the BLS employment projection and wage percentiles above for a complete career assessment.

Education & Entry Requirements

Typical Education
No formal educational credential
Work Experience
None
On-the-Job Training
Short-term on-the-job training

Top Tasks (O*NET)

  1. 1. Collect fares or vouchers from passengers, and make change or issue receipts as necessary.
  2. 2. Communicate with dispatchers by radio, telephone, or computer to exchange information and receive requests for passenger service.
  3. 3. Complete accident reports when necessary.
  4. 4. Determine fares based on trip distances and times, using taximeters and fee schedules, and announce fares to passengers.
  5. 5. Drive taxicabs or privately owned vehicles to transport passengers.
  6. 6. Follow relevant safety regulations and state laws governing vehicle operation, and ensure that passengers follow safety regulations.
  7. 7. Notify dispatchers or company mechanics of vehicle problems.
  8. 8. Perform minor vehicle repairs, such as cleaning spark plugs, or take vehicles to mechanics for servicing.
  9. 9. Perform routine vehicle maintenance, such as regulating tire pressure and adding gasoline, oil, and water.
  10. 10. Pick up passengers at prearranged locations, at taxi stands, or by cruising streets in high-traffic areas.

Frequently Asked Questions

Will AI replace Taxi drivers?

Taxi drivers has an AI exposure score of 35%, indicating a medium level of automation risk. The majority of tasks in this role require human judgment, creativity, or physical presence that AI cannot easily replicate.

What is the job outlook for Taxi drivers?

According to BLS Employment Projections 2024-2034, Taxi drivers is projected to grow by 11.1% over the decade. Current employment stands at approximately 204,000 workers.

What skills are needed for Taxi drivers?

Taxi drivers requires a combination of technical knowledge and interpersonal skills. Typical education requirement: No formal educational credential.

How much do Taxi drivers earn?

The median annual wage for Taxi drivers is $36,220, according to BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics (May 2024). Actual earnings vary by location, experience, industry, and employer. The BLS publishes detailed wage percentiles by region in its Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics program.

What education is required for Taxi drivers?

The typical entry-level education for Taxi drivers is No formal educational credential. Employers generally expect None of related work experience. On-the-job training typically involves Short-term on-the-job training. Requirements can vary by employer and specialization.

Which companies employ Taxi drivers?

Taxi drivers roles exist across many industries and employers. Workforce composition is estimated from BLS industry-occupation employment distributions matched to SEC-registered public companies.

AI Exposure Rating

1.8
out of 5.0

Medium automation risk based on 10 analyzed tasks. Most tasks require human judgment and are resistant to automation.

Data sources: Bureau of Labor Statistics Employment Projections 2024–2034 and O*NET Database 30.0. Employment figures are rounded. Wage data from BLS Occupational Employment Statistics (OES).

Data sourced from official public datasets. See our methodology for details. Retrieved and formatted by PlainWorkforce Editorial

Every figure on PlainWorkforce is rendered directly from BLS/O*NET source data, no number is typed in by an editor. See our editorial standards & corrections policy, the methodology behind these figures, or report a data error. Data current as of BLS Employment Projections 2024-2034.