High AI Risk Average

Heavy and tractor-trailer truck drivers

SOC Code: 53-3032

Heavy and tractor-trailer truck drivers carries a 43% AI exposure score (High automation risk), with a median annual wage of $57,440 and +4.0% projected employment growth from 2024 to 2034 (BLS), affecting approximately 2,235,100 workers. Full task breakdown, skills, and employer data are below.

AI Exposure Score
43% High

Proportion of tasks susceptible to AI automation (O*NET analysis)

Projected Growth
+4.0%
2024–2034 (BLS)
+89,300 jobs
Median Annual Wage
$57,440
BLS May 2024
How wage figures are sourced →

AI Exposure vs Industry Growth

Workforce demand by occupation Sanctioned bespoke signature viz (@signature-viz, KIZ-799) showing occupation-level workforce demand from BLS OEWS data. Pure SVG, no external dependencies.Projected Growth 2024-2034 (BLS)Technology+12.8%Healthcare+10.2%Professional+7.8%Education+5.8%Construction+4.5%Finance+4.6%Logistics+3.2%Government+1.2%Manufacturing-2.1%Retail-3.4%
National AI Exposure
40%
Average across all occupations
Avg Wage Growth
+3.2%
Median annual wage change
High-Risk Roles
127
Occupations with >70% AI exposure

Total occupations tracked

832

Covering all SOC major groups

Data currency

2024

BLS Employment Projections

AI exposure avg

40%

Fleet-wide median across all roles

Methodology confidence 92.0%
Industry standard

Composite score weighing O*NET task data completeness, BLS projection methodology, and cross-validation with employer risk grades.

Employment Projections

2,235,100
Employment 2024
2,324,400
Projected 2034
+4.0%
Change (%)
+89,300
Change (jobs)

Occupation Insight

Heavy and tractor-trailer truck drivers (SOC 53-3032) carries an AI exposure score of 43%, placing it in the High automation-risk tier. This score is computed from O*NET Database 30.0 task-level analysis, where each task an occupation performs is evaluated against current generative AI, robotic process automation, and machine-learning capabilities. A score in the 40–70% range indicates meaningful automation pressure on specific task categories, but the role as a whole still requires human judgment for coordination, exception handling, or client interaction.

The economic context matters alongside the risk score. BLS counted approximately 2,235,100 workers in this occupation in 2024, and projects a +4.0% change through 2034 — modest growth that keeps the occupation viable even as tasks evolve. Median annual compensation stands at $57,440, reflecting both skill scarcity and the value employers place on the tasks that remain difficult to automate. Entry typically requires Postsecondary nondegree award, plus None of related experience.

For career planners, this profile should be read alongside the task, skill, and knowledge breakdowns below and the list of employers whose workforce composition includes Heavy and tractor-trailer truck drivers. Adjacent occupations shown further down offer lateral moves that preserve industry knowledge while potentially reducing exposure. Pair the AI exposure score with the BLS employment projection and wage percentiles above for a complete career assessment.

Education & Entry Requirements

Typical Education
Postsecondary nondegree award
Work Experience
None
On-the-Job Training
Short-term on-the-job training

Registered Apprenticeship Pathway Available

Heavy and tractor-trailer truck drivers is a recognized registered apprenticeship occupation under the DOL RAPIDS system. Earn while you train — apprentices typically start at ~$16/hr and reach $28–$46/hr upon completion, depending on the specific trade and region.

Top Tasks (O*NET)

  1. 1. Secure cargo for transport, using ropes, blocks, chain, binders, or covers.
  2. 2. Follow appropriate safety procedures for transporting dangerous goods.
  3. 3. Check all load-related documentation for completeness and accuracy.
  4. 4. Inspect loads to ensure that cargo is secure.
  5. 5. Check vehicles to ensure that mechanical, safety, and emergency equipment is in good working order.
  6. 6. Crank trailer landing gear up or down to safely secure vehicles.
  7. 7. Obtain receipts or signatures for delivered goods and collect payment for services when required.
  8. 8. Maintain logs of working hours or of vehicle service or repair status, following applicable state and federal regulations.
  9. 9. Read bills of lading to determine assignment details.
  10. 10. Report vehicle defects, accidents, traffic violations, or damage to the vehicles.

Key Skills Required

  • Operations Monitoring
  • Operation and Control
  • Monitoring
  • Reading Comprehension
  • Speaking
  • Critical Thinking
  • Troubleshooting
  • Time Management
  • Active Listening
  • Equipment Maintenance

Knowledge Areas

  • Transportation
  • Public Safety and Security
  • Customer and Personal Service
  • English Language
  • Law and Government
  • Mechanical
  • Telecommunications
  • Education and Training
  • Administration and Management
  • Mathematics

Frequently Asked Questions

Will AI replace Heavy and tractor-trailer truck drivers?

Heavy and tractor-trailer truck drivers has an AI exposure score of 43%, indicating a high level of automation risk. Some tasks in this role can be augmented or partially automated by AI, but core responsibilities require human judgment.

What is the job outlook for Heavy and tractor-trailer truck drivers?

According to BLS Employment Projections 2024-2034, Heavy and tractor-trailer truck drivers is projected to grow by 4.0% over the decade. Current employment stands at approximately 2,235,100 workers.

What skills are needed for Heavy and tractor-trailer truck drivers?

Key skills for Heavy and tractor-trailer truck drivers include Operations Monitoring, Operation and Control, Monitoring, and others. Typical entry-level education is Postsecondary nondegree award.

How much do Heavy and tractor-trailer truck drivers earn?

The median annual wage for Heavy and tractor-trailer truck drivers is $57,440, according to BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics (May 2024). Actual earnings vary by location, experience, industry, and employer. The BLS publishes detailed wage percentiles by region in its Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics program.

What education is required for Heavy and tractor-trailer truck drivers?

The typical entry-level education for Heavy and tractor-trailer truck drivers is Postsecondary nondegree award. Employers generally expect None of related work experience. On-the-job training typically involves Short-term on-the-job training. Requirements can vary by employer and specialization.

Which companies employ Heavy and tractor-trailer truck drivers?

Heavy and tractor-trailer truck drivers roles exist across many industries and employers. Workforce composition is estimated from BLS industry-occupation employment distributions matched to SEC-registered public companies.

AI Exposure Rating

2.1
out of 5.0

High automation risk based on 10 analyzed tasks. A moderate share of tasks may be augmented by AI tools.

Data sources: Bureau of Labor Statistics Employment Projections 2024–2034 and O*NET Database 30.0. Employment figures are rounded. Wage data from BLS Occupational Employment Statistics (OES).

Related

Data sourced from official public datasets. See our methodology for details. Retrieved and formatted by PlainWorkforce Editorial