High AI Risk Slow Growth

Railroad brake, signal, and switch operators and locomotive firers

SOC Code: 53-4022

Railroad brake, signal, and switch operators and locomotive firers carries a 42% AI exposure score (High automation risk), with a median annual wage of $65,480 and +1.0% projected employment growth from 2024 to 2034 (BLS), affecting approximately 11,000 workers. Full task breakdown, skills, and employer data are below.

AI Exposure Score
42% High

Proportion of tasks susceptible to AI automation (O*NET analysis)

Projected Growth
+1.0%
2024–2034 (BLS)
+100 jobs
Median Annual Wage
$65,480
BLS May 2024
How wage figures are sourced →

AI Exposure vs Industry Growth

Workforce demand by occupation Sanctioned bespoke signature viz (@signature-viz, KIZ-799) showing occupation-level workforce demand from BLS OEWS data. Pure SVG, no external dependencies.Projected Growth 2024-2034 (BLS)Technology+12.8%Healthcare+10.2%Professional+7.8%Education+5.8%Construction+4.5%Finance+4.6%Logistics+3.2%Government+1.2%Manufacturing-2.1%Retail-3.4%
National AI Exposure
40%
Average across all occupations
Avg Wage Growth
+3.2%
Median annual wage change
High-Risk Roles
127
Occupations with >70% AI exposure

Total occupations tracked

832

Covering all SOC major groups

Data currency

2024

BLS Employment Projections

AI exposure avg

40%

Fleet-wide median across all roles

Methodology confidence 92.0%
Industry standard

Composite score weighing O*NET task data completeness, BLS projection methodology, and cross-validation with employer risk grades.

Employment Projections

11,000
Employment 2024
11,100
Projected 2034
+1.0%
Change (%)
+100
Change (jobs)

Occupation Insight

Railroad brake, signal, and switch operators and locomotive firers (SOC 53-4022) carries an AI exposure score of 42%, placing it in the High automation-risk tier. This score is computed from O*NET Database 30.0 task-level analysis, where each task an occupation performs is evaluated against current generative AI, robotic process automation, and machine-learning capabilities. A score in the 40–70% range indicates meaningful automation pressure on specific task categories, but the role as a whole still requires human judgment for coordination, exception handling, or client interaction.

The economic context matters alongside the risk score. BLS counted approximately 11,000 workers in this occupation in 2024, and projects a +1.0% change through 2034 — modest growth that keeps the occupation viable even as tasks evolve. Median annual compensation stands at $65,480, reflecting both skill scarcity and the value employers place on the tasks that remain difficult to automate. Entry typically requires High school diploma or equivalent, plus None of related experience.

For career planners, this profile should be read alongside the task, skill, and knowledge breakdowns below and the list of employers whose workforce composition includes Railroad brake, signal, and switch operators and locomotive firers. Adjacent occupations shown further down offer lateral moves that preserve industry knowledge while potentially reducing exposure. Pair the AI exposure score with the BLS employment projection and wage percentiles above for a complete career assessment.

Education & Entry Requirements

Typical Education
High school diploma or equivalent
Work Experience
None
On-the-Job Training
Moderate-term on-the-job training

Top Tasks (O*NET)

  1. 1. Observe train signals along routes and verify their meanings for engineers.
  2. 2. Signal locomotive engineers to start or stop trains when coupling or uncoupling cars, using hand signals, lanterns, or radio communication.
  3. 3. Operate and drive locomotives, diesel switch engines, dinkey engines, flatcars, and railcars in train yards and at industrial sites.
  4. 4. Pull or push track switches to reroute cars.
  5. 5. Observe signals from other crew members so that work activities can be coordinated.
  6. 6. Monitor trains as they go around curves to detect dragging equipment and smoking journal boxes.
  7. 7. Inspect couplings, air hoses, journal boxes, and handbrakes to ensure that they are securely fastened and functioning properly.
  8. 8. Observe tracks from left sides of locomotives to detect obstructions on tracks.
  9. 9. Operate locomotives in emergency situations.
  10. 10. Raise levers to couple and uncouple cars for makeup and breakup of trains.

Key Skills Required

  • Monitoring
  • Operations Monitoring
  • Active Listening
  • Critical Thinking
  • Operation and Control
  • Reading Comprehension
  • Social Perceptiveness
  • Coordination
  • Judgment and Decision Making
  • Time Management

Knowledge Areas

  • Transportation
  • Public Safety and Security
  • Mechanical
  • English Language
  • Customer and Personal Service
  • Law and Government
  • Education and Training
  • Telecommunications
  • Psychology
  • Mathematics

Frequently Asked Questions

Will AI replace Railroad brake, signal, and switch operators and locomotive firers?

Railroad brake, signal, and switch operators and locomotive firers has an AI exposure score of 42%, indicating a high level of automation risk. Some tasks in this role can be augmented or partially automated by AI, but core responsibilities require human judgment.

What is the job outlook for Railroad brake, signal, and switch operators and locomotive firers?

According to BLS Employment Projections 2024-2034, Railroad brake, signal, and switch operators and locomotive firers is projected to grow by 1.0% over the decade. Current employment stands at approximately 11,000 workers.

What skills are needed for Railroad brake, signal, and switch operators and locomotive firers?

Key skills for Railroad brake, signal, and switch operators and locomotive firers include Monitoring, Operations Monitoring, Active Listening, and others. Typical entry-level education is High school diploma or equivalent.

How much do Railroad brake, signal, and switch operators and locomotive firers earn?

The median annual wage for Railroad brake, signal, and switch operators and locomotive firers is $65,480, according to BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics (May 2024). Actual earnings vary by location, experience, industry, and employer. The BLS publishes detailed wage percentiles by region in its Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics program.

What education is required for Railroad brake, signal, and switch operators and locomotive firers?

The typical entry-level education for Railroad brake, signal, and switch operators and locomotive firers is High school diploma or equivalent. Employers generally expect None of related work experience. On-the-job training typically involves Moderate-term on-the-job training. Requirements can vary by employer and specialization.

Which companies employ Railroad brake, signal, and switch operators and locomotive firers?

Railroad brake, signal, and switch operators and locomotive firers roles exist across many industries and employers. Workforce composition is estimated from BLS industry-occupation employment distributions matched to SEC-registered public companies.

AI Exposure Rating

2.1
out of 5.0

High automation risk based on 10 analyzed tasks. A moderate share of tasks may be augmented by AI tools.

Data sources: Bureau of Labor Statistics Employment Projections 2024–2034 and O*NET Database 30.0. Employment figures are rounded. Wage data from BLS Occupational Employment Statistics (OES).

Related

Data sourced from official public datasets. See our methodology for details. Retrieved and formatted by PlainWorkforce Editorial