High AI Risk Declining

Correctional officers and jailers

SOC Code: 33-3012

Correctional officers and jailers carries a 43% AI exposure score (High automation risk), with a median annual wage of $57,970 and -7.8% projected employment growth from 2024 to 2034 (BLS), affecting approximately 387,500 workers. Full task breakdown, skills, and employer data are below.

AI Exposure Score
43% High
Above-average exposure

Proportion of tasks susceptible to AI automation (O*NET analysis)

Projected Growth
-7.8%
Bottom 10% growth
2024–2034 (BLS)
-30,100 jobs
Median Annual Wage
$57,970
Typical pay
BLS May 2024
How wage figures are sourced →
The verdict

At 43% AI exposure, Correctional officers and jailers sits 6 points above the 37.2% average across 832 U.S. occupations - more exposed than 76% of them. Most of its core tasks still require human judgment.

43%
AI exposure
Top 24%
most exposed
-7.8%
Job growth 2024–34
$57,970
Median wage
F

Career outlook score

27/100

Correctional officers and jailers, weighted across 3 of 3 tracked dimensions

A weighted composite of median wage, projected growth, and AI-automation security (inverted exposure), each benchmarked against every other tracked occupation. It describes this occupation's standing across those three dimensions, not a guarantee of future outcomes.

  • Median wage D $57,970

    Annual median wage, percentile rank vs all tracked occupations

  • Projected growth F -7.8%

    Projected employment change, 2024-2034, BLS Employment Projections

  • AI exposure (inverted) F 43% exposure

    Lower O*NET task-automability scores lower risk; this dimension scores security, not exposure

Employment vs AI exposure

Home health and personal care aides is #1 of 832 occupations by employment (4.3M, AI exposure rank #392 at 35%) vs. Bookkeeping, accounting, and auditing clerks #1 by AI task exposure (95%, employment rank #17 at 1.6M).

4.3M
Home health and personal care aides employment (#1)
#392
Home health and personal care aides AI rank
95%
Bookkeeping, accounting, and auditing clerks AI exposure (#1)
#17
Bookkeeping, accounting, and auditing clerks employment rank

Automation-risk inventory

Exclusive cut of 832 occupations by PlainWorkforce automation-risk band. Orthogonal to the continuous AI-exposure distribution chart below and to this occupation's single risk badge, this is the corpus band mix, with Correctional officers and jailers in the High band.

Credential × growth standing

Open entry on a declining BLS line

Typical entry is HS / some college (333/832) while growth is Declining (111/832). This is the crowded high-risk corner of the map - automation and headcount pressure compound without a degree moat.

Where Correctional officers and jailers sits among all occupations

AI-exposure score distribution across 832 U.S. occupations (O*NET task analysis). This occupation is marked in rose.

Where Correctional officers and jailers sits by AI exposure

AI-exposure score distribution across U.S. occupations (O*NET task analysis)

43% Higher than most higher than 76% of 832 occupations

Occupations, banded by AI-exposure score

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more occupations. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count and share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source O*NET task data (U.S. Department of Labor) · BLS 2024–2034

Source: O*NET task data (U.S. Department of Labor); AI-exposure scores are PlainWorkforce's analysis. As of BLS 2024–2034.

Correctional officers and jailers vs. its occupational neighbors

AI exposure (horizontal) vs projected 2024–2034 growth (vertical) for occupations in the same SOC group. Correctional officers and jailers is marked in rose; the top-left corner is the most future-proof.

Future-proofGrowing but exposedStable, lower-AIMost at risk22.4%36.5%50.5%64.5%78.5%-8.5%-4.7%-1%2.7%6.5%AI exposure (%) →Projected growth (%) →Security guards, AI exposure (%) →: 31% · Projected growth (%) →: 0.4%Security guardsPolice, AI exposure (%) →: 40% · Projected growth (%) →: 3.1%PoliceCorrectional officer, AI exposure (%) →: 43% · Projected growth (%) →: -7.8%Correctional officerFirefighters, AI exposure (%) →: 25% · Projected growth (%) →: 3.4%FirefightersFirst-line superviso, AI exposure (%) →: 42% · Projected growth (%) →: 2.9%First-line supervisoLifeguards, AI exposure (%) →: 39% · Projected growth (%) →: 5.8%LifeguardsDetectives, AI exposure (%) →: 76% · Projected growth (%) →: -0.7%DetectivesFirst-line superviso, AI exposure (%) →: 26% · Projected growth (%) →: 3.4%First-line supervisoCrossing guards, AI exposure (%) →: 31% · Projected growth (%) →: 3.6%Crossing guardsProtective service w, AI exposure (%) →: 32% · Projected growth (%) →: 2.5%Protective service wFirst-line superviso, AI exposure (%) →: 41% · Projected growth (%) →: 2.7%First-line superviso

Source: BLS Employment Projections 2024–2034 (growth) and O*NET (AI-exposure analysis by PlainWorkforce).

Employment Projections

387,500
Employment 2024
357,400
Projected 2034
-7.8%
Change (%)
-30,100
Change (jobs)

Where This Score Comes From

Correctional officers and jailers's High automation-risk tier is computed from O*NET Database 30.0 task-level analysis, where each documented task the occupation performs is evaluated against current generative AI, robotic process automation, and machine-learning capabilities. A score in the 40–70% range indicates meaningful automation pressure on specific task categories, but the role as a whole still requires human judgment for coordination, exception handling, or client interaction.

The employment, wage, and education figures above come from a second, separate federal source: BLS Employment Projections 2024–2034, matched to the O*NET task data by Standard Occupational Classification (SOC 33-3012) code, with the wage figure cross-validated against the BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics (OEWS) May 2024 survey. BLS figures are presented exactly as published, with no adjustment on our part; the SOC-code match is what lets Correctional officers and jailers be compared directly against every other tracked occupation on the same basis, not just roles that happen to share a job title.

For career planners, this profile should be read alongside the task, skill, and knowledge breakdowns below and the list of employers whose workforce composition includes Correctional officers and jailers. Adjacent occupations shown further down offer lateral moves that preserve industry knowledge while potentially reducing exposure.

Education & Entry Requirements

Typical Education
High school diploma or equivalent
Work Experience
None
On-the-Job Training
Moderate-term on-the-job training

Top Tasks (O*NET)

  1. 1. Conduct head counts to ensure that each prisoner is present.
  2. 2. Inspect conditions of locks, window bars, grills, doors, and gates at correctional facilities to ensure security and help prevent escapes.
  3. 3. Monitor conduct of prisoners in housing unit, or during work or recreational activities, according to established policies, regulations, and procedures, to prevent escape or violence.
  4. 4. Search prisoners and vehicles and conduct shakedowns of cells for valuables and contraband, such as weapons or drugs.
  5. 5. Guard facility entrances to screen visitors.
  6. 6. Record information, such as prisoner identification, charges, and incidents of inmate disturbance, keeping daily logs of prisoner activities.
  7. 7. Inspect mail for the presence of contraband.
  8. 8. Search for and recapture escapees.
  9. 9. Maintain records of prisoners' identification and charges.
  10. 10. Use weapons, handcuffs, and physical force to maintain discipline and order among prisoners.

Key Skills Required

  • Active Listening
  • Monitoring
  • Social Perceptiveness
  • Speaking
  • Critical Thinking
  • Reading Comprehension
  • Coordination
  • Persuasion
  • Active Learning
  • Negotiation

Knowledge Areas

  • Public Safety and Security
  • English Language
  • Law and Government
  • Customer and Personal Service
  • Administration and Management
  • Computers and Electronics
  • Psychology
  • Administrative
  • Education and Training
  • Telecommunications

Frequently Asked Questions

Will AI replace Correctional officers and jailers?

Correctional officers and jailers has an AI exposure score of 43%, indicating a high level of automation risk. Some tasks in this role can be augmented or partially automated by AI, but core responsibilities require human judgment.

What is the job outlook for Correctional officers and jailers?

According to BLS Employment Projections 2024-2034, Correctional officers and jailers is projected to decline by 7.8% over the decade. Current employment stands at approximately 387,500 workers.

What skills are needed for Correctional officers and jailers?

Key skills for Correctional officers and jailers include Active Listening, Monitoring, Social Perceptiveness, and others. Typical entry-level education is High school diploma or equivalent.

How much do Correctional officers and jailers earn?

The median annual wage for Correctional officers and jailers is $57,970, according to BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics (May 2024). Actual earnings vary by location, experience, industry, and employer. The BLS publishes detailed wage percentiles by region in its Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics program.

What education is required for Correctional officers and jailers?

The typical entry-level education for Correctional officers and jailers is High school diploma or equivalent. Employers generally expect None of related work experience. On-the-job training typically involves Moderate-term on-the-job training. Requirements can vary by employer and specialization.

Which companies employ Correctional officers and jailers?

Correctional officers and jailers roles exist across many industries and employers. Workforce composition is estimated from BLS industry-occupation employment distributions matched to SEC-registered public companies.

AI Exposure Rating

2.1
out of 5.0

High automation risk based on 10 analyzed tasks. A moderate share of tasks may be augmented by AI tools.

Nationwide occupations with similar workforce profiles

Two data-derived peer sets for Correctional officers and jailers: AI-exposure neighbors and BLS 2034 growth neighbors (distinct comparison neighborhoods, cross-occupation).

Similar projected growth (2024–2034)

Nearest BLS employment change rates nationwide (-7.8% here).

Peers are nearest-neighbor matches on published BLS + O*NET metrics among occupations with ≥10,000 workers in 2024; corpus ranks above sort the full tracked set.

What to do with this

Use Correctional officers and jailers' numbers above to compare, not just read in isolation.

AI exposure scores estimate task automatability from O*NET data; they are not a certainty of job loss, and BLS growth projections are estimates, not guarantees.

Data sources: Bureau of Labor Statistics Employment Projections 2024–2034 and O*NET Database 30.0. Employment figures are rounded. Wage data from BLS Occupational Employment Statistics (OES).

Every figure on PlainWorkforce is rendered directly from BLS/O*NET source data, no number is typed in by an editor. See our editorial standards & corrections policy, the methodology behind these figures, or report a data error. Data current as of BLS Employment Projections 2024-2034.

Sources: BLS Employment Projections 2024-2034, O*NET Database 30.0.